Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Economy'

The Olympics: are they a waste of resources?

August 12th, 2008 · No Comments

I do enjoy watching the Olympics from time to time, but I cannot help but think of all the money and resources that are needed to host the games in the modern era and question if these should have been directed elsewhere.

What we need for a sustained stock market rally.

August 7th, 2008 · No Comments

Rather than focus how bad things are at the moment let’s focus on what could turn things around. To do that as far as our stock portfolios are concerned, I suggest we look at what factors could trigger a long term stock market rally.

The Reserve Bank, rates cuts and a possible nasty turn.

August 2nd, 2008 · 1 Comment

As I have mentioned on a few occasions I believe the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) went too far with their interest rate increases especially when a possible global downturn was on the radar. We now find ourselves in a situation where the RBA is focused on inflation (much of it beyond their control) whereas the real threat is that the Australian economy will stall.

Does Japan have a population problem?

July 28th, 2008 · 4 Comments

Often one of the major problems facing Japan is said to be that is has a declining population. All sorts of scary statistics are used to paint an almost doomsday scenario where at some point there will be few young people left, the country will be composed mainly by the elderly and the economy will collapse.

The simple guide to oil prices.

July 14th, 2008 · No Comments

Recently we have all been hearing about the price of oil and the various reasons why oil should either be trading higher of lower. So in an effort to simplify the whole debate here is my quick summary of some of the key points often raised when oil prices are discussed.

Forecast for 2008: review and update.

July 4th, 2008 · No Comments

Back in March this year, I tentatively outlined my market forecast for 2008 based on a number of assumptions as contained in my blog: Are we near the bottom. Since I am the first to admit that forecasts are rarely 100% (or even 80%) correct it would seem now is a prudent time to review my assumptions and update my forecast to cover the last 6 months of this year and a little into CY2009 as well.

End of financial year thoughts.

June 25th, 2008 · No Comments

Well what a terrible first half of 2008 and a shocking close to the financial year. After watching the market over the last week or so, I decided the best course of action was to finish work just after lunch and catch up with some reading and movie watching. One thing I was not doing was selling as I have no idea why people wait until this time of year to sell and take tax losses. In fact I picked up a few small parcels of shares as I hope we will see some upward market movement in July.

Those annoying market bears.

June 5th, 2008 · No Comments

Investing in the stock market recently has not been a lot of fun. Many people would be holding some stocks in their portfolio’s that have been savaged with quite a few stocks 40-60% lower than they were just 6 months ago. It is not just the small caps that have been hit either, even the usually reliable banks have been hit hard and it can all make one feel a little depressed at times.

The Fluffy Duck and Teflon Man Budget.

May 26th, 2008 · No Comments

Wayne “Fluffy Duck” Swan and Kevin “Teflon Man” Rudd have delivered their first budget and so I will share my thoughts on a few areas in the budget and my impression of the budget overall.

Are we near the bottom?

March 23rd, 2008 · No Comments

One thing all investors would like to know is if the Australian Stock Market has reached a bottom and when things will start to recover. Like everyone else, I cannot predict the future but I can at least outline what I think (hope) will happen and how I am positioning my own investments.

Where to for the Australian Economy?

February 12th, 2008 · No Comments

Let me first start by saying I think any predictions about the future are best described as forward looking guesstimates. So before reading on, please remember this is just my view and I am not aware of any ability I have to see clearly into the future.

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