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Entries Categorised as 'Economy'

The Economic Twilight Zone.

July 29th, 2009 · 6 Comments

The world’s major stock markets have all enjoyed fairly strong rallies over the last week or so and in Australian the ASX All Ordinaries has run up around 30% since March. But there is a sense of unease amongst investors because there are still plenty of economic indicators that suggest the global economy still faces challenges.  That is because we have entered what I call the Economic Twilight Zone!

The S&P/ASX 200, the U.S. economy and Australian tourism.

July 8th, 2009 · 15 Comments

The ASX S&P 200 appears to be moving sideways, the U.S. economy is a mess and overseas tourists are not flocking “Down Under” like they once did. What does all this mean and will Australia win the Ashes series?

Is deflation really such a bad thing?

June 27th, 2009 · 10 Comments

Now that the world seems to have avoided falling into an economic heap, various pundits have switched their attention to life after the global financial crisis. Of course if you spend most of your life saying the world economy is doomed then there has to be a crisis after this current crisis and one scenario being talked about is where many developed nations will enter a period of deflation.

Australian home prices, spending trends and statistics.

June 8th, 2009 · 15 Comments

The debate about where Australian home prices are heading appears to be getting more intense these days. Commentators who have been predicting home prices will crash have seized on falls seen so far as proof they are right, whereas those who believe prices will not crash pounce on the same data and says it supports their view. Confusing isn’t it?

Global market news – what is it telling us?

June 7th, 2009 · 1 Comment

Depending on your point of view the world’s stock markets are either having a temporary rally before they continue their downward slide or we are witnessing the start of a slow global economic recovery. But rather than make any assumptions or speculate on the future let’s look at what the news from markets around the world might be telling us.

The Catch-22 recession: send in the clowns!

June 4th, 2009 · 11 Comments

Well Australia has avoided a “technical recession” for now so I guess this means that if you have lost your job or your business is struggling then technically you are actually doing fine. But if we are not in a recession, why are company profits taking a beating, unemployment rising and the stock market still so low?

A large population is not always the road to economic success

May 29th, 2009 · 8 Comments

Many economists appear to believe that if  a nation’s population is growing then this is  good for the  economy as well, especially in developed countries. But in a world where resources will need to be shared amongst a growing number of affluent consumers I believe the opposite is often true.

The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?

May 22nd, 2009 · 6 Comments

For many months now debate has raged in the mainstream media, online forums and blogs about what the long term impact of the global financial crisis will be.  Some people appear to believe we are entering an economic version of The Dark Ages whereas other more optimistic types view the current period as an ideal time snap up cheap assets and prepare for the next economic boom. Like many debates, the truth probably lies somewhere between these two views.

Federal Budget 2009: The Yes Minister preview.

May 11th, 2009 · 6 Comments

Lights, camera, action! It is almost time for another budget from the masters of spin and we are all invited to watch the drama unfold. The 2009 federal budget will be one of the most eagerly awaited budgets in years and the key question for me is: why is the Government talking up the need to borrow and spend one moment and then in the next breath, warning us that we all need to share the pain because the Government has to reign in spending?

World stock markets rally: is the bear back in its cage?

April 14th, 2009 · 4 Comments

Without a doubt there are a lot of scary economic numbers out there and as far as the Australian economy goes, things seem to be heading downhill fast. But as strange as it seems, the bad news recently has not been all that bad and actually there has even been some good news. So is it possible that at long last that the bear is back in its cage?

Is it time for another Australian sovereign wealth fund?

April 9th, 2009 · 10 Comments

It seems the Australian government is in the mood to throw money around in order to try and lessen the impact of the recession, but one option that does not seem to have been raised is for the government to establish another sovereign wealth fund. This new fund could act as means of supporting the stock market and provide a source of income over future years to maintain spending on such things as national infrastructure and healthcare.

The Australian home prices debate Part 2: Why prices may not collapse.

March 21st, 2009 · 171 Comments

In Part 1 of the Australian home prices debate I looked at some of the factors that could drive home prices down in Australia. Now in Part 2, I shall outline the other side of the debate and consider the arguments that support the view that the Australian residential property market will generally withstand the fallout from the global financial crisis and not follow prices down in a similar way to the U.S. and U.K.

The Australian home prices debate Part 1: Why prices may fall.

March 19th, 2009 · 339 Comments

One of the most discussed economic topics at the moment in Australia is regarding whether real estate prices are about to plunge across the nation or if Australian residential property will generally be spared from the savage price falls seen in the U.S. and the U.K.  Rather than take sides in this debate, I will merely outline some of the arguments being tossed around in newspapers, online forums and blogs etc. and see how well they hold up to scrutiny.

The recession, economic stimulus and the stock market.

March 15th, 2009 · 53 Comments

Often economists, journalists and politicians use so much jargon when talking about the current economic situation that is is hard to follow what they are actually trying to say. Economists for example cannot seem to agree on anything except that they are legends in their own minds, journalists try and fumble through economic discussions and politicians simply try and convince us they know what they are talking about. The simple fact is much of the time all three groups talk utter rubbish.

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