Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Economy'

The Recession and Rudd’s Plan 9 from Outer Space.

March 4th, 2009 · 9 Comments

Can the discussion surrounding the Australian economy get any more bizarre? Will economists continue to make vague observations? Will our politicians spend most of 2009 making nonsensical statements aimed to please the plebs? If you answered yes to all three questions then you are well prepared for the year ahead.

The inflation genie and the deflation goblin.

January 21st, 2009 · 4 Comments

Well it seems the inflation genie is back in the bottle and that the bottle is back in the cupboard. Therefore our wise leaders in Canberra have in less than 12 months gone from fighting inflation, to trying to stimulate growth and save the Australian economy from recession. Of course none of the economic problems Australia faces today have anything to do with government blunders, it is all China’s fault.

A new year, more government blunders and a sleeping RBA.

January 15th, 2009 · 3 Comments

Well another year has begun and I am starting to wish it was 2008 again. If 2008 was the year in which stock market investors were humbled, then 2009 is starting to look like the year in which we will be humiliated. We are now half way through January and many people will tell you that if the market ends down in January it will also be down at the end of the year. So far things are not looking good.

Is the golden era for the Australian stock market over?

January 10th, 2009 · 3 Comments

One question that investors need to consider amongst all this market turmoil is; has the dream run of the Australian stock market come to end? Perhaps for example the days of the Australian market (ASX) outperforming the Dow Jones Index are over and we need to be prepared for less glamorous returns? We might even have to put aside our patriotic feelings and look offshore for better returns in the future?

Shareswatch Blog: hits and misses of 2008.

January 6th, 2009 · 3 Comments

There is something you should have noticed by now about most of the finance and stock market related news websites and that is; they are great at picking the best and worst investment events of the past, but they say very little about how accurate their analysis of events were throughout the year.

Japan, China and the Australian Economy.

December 28th, 2008 · 17 Comments

One of the many misjudgements made by the Rudd Government in managing the Australian economy this year has been their almost fanatical belief that Australia would be shielded from the worst of the global financial crisis because of our trade with China. For the first part of this year in addition to the “War on Inflation”, Rudd and Swan were also pushing the line that our significant exports to China would keep the Australian economy ticking over nicely despite the problems brewing in the economies of the United States and the Eurozone.

Australian stock market outlook for 2009.

December 20th, 2008 · 2 Comments

Like most stock market investors I will end the year well and truly bruised.  Although I wrote earlier in the year that 2008 would not be a good for Australian shares, I have to admit I did not think it was going to be this bad. Therefore I am hesitant to make any comments regarding the Australian stock market in 2009 as I am sure to find little turns out as I expect.  However just as Nigel Tufnel was able to rise above substandard catering on the Spinal Tap Tour, I am going to rise above the current carnage and outline what I think will happen as next year unfolds.

Actions to stimulate the economy in 2009 and beyond.

December 16th, 2008 · 7 Comments

It seems that almost everyday we hear about another government plan aimed to stimulate the economy. Finally it seems the government has stopped blaming the previous government for inflation (and a large budget surplus) and is now blaming the world for the slow down in the Australian economy.

Be prepared for the recession we might have avoided.

December 11th, 2008 · 5 Comments

Although Kevin Rudd stated some weeks ago that Australia would not slide into a recession it seems another one of his forecasts has exposed just what an economic dunce he is. Possibly only Wayne Swan can make worse assessments regarding the state of the Australian economy with Glen “I raised rates too far” Stevens (the Reserve Bank Governor) finishing of a trio of people who are best ignored. As I wrote a while back…we would be better served by getting a hobbit and wizard into the government economic team as soon as possible. (see The RBA,Swan and a Hobbit)

A stock market rout and probable recession: it could be worse.

December 5th, 2008 · No Comments

There is not a lot of good economic news in circulation at the moment. Today for example I read that the Dubai real estate market is heading for a big fall, and so it seems one of the last pockets economic optimism is about to get that gloomy feeling. I guess this might mean the end of man made islands shaped like continents, so perhaps it is not all bad news.

Economic Groupthink: a dangerous trend.

November 28th, 2008 · No Comments

One of the worrying trends that has emerged in Australia during 2008 is the way the government has created an atmosphere that is conducive to groupthink (group think) behaviour. Views that are not aligned with “Rudd’s World” are attacked as reckless or irresponsible by the government, and the mainstream media appear willing to slap down any dissenting opinions.

Why the global economy will recover.

November 27th, 2008 · No Comments

It is hard to remain optimistic at the moment and the attention grabbing headlines churned out by the media do not help people sleep at night. I have lost count how many times I have seen the current economic mess compared to the Great Depression or labelled “The biggest economic crisis in our lifetimes”. (I guess you need to factor in how old you are for that tag to work) The fact is we are in a very nasty economic correction but eventually things will settle down and the global economy will do as it has done for hundreds of years…..grow.

The G-20, bad news and further stock market falls.

November 20th, 2008 · No Comments

Well the market has continued to fall during the past few weeks and now I am starting to wonder if we will even see the bear market reach a bottom this year. You might recall I was counting on the market to rally by now so clearly events have not worked out as I expected. But there are reasons why we have not seen a major sustained rally and I think it is useful to look at some of these reasons in detail.

The car industry, six billion dollars and another blunder.

November 12th, 2008 · 1 Comment

Well done Kevin Rudd, just weeks after causing chaos in the financial markets with his bank deposit guarantee, he has been able to pull another blunder out of his magic hat and found a way to potentially waste six billion dollars of Australian taxpayers money. Let’s be totally clear from the start here, the bailout package for the Australian car manufacturing sector is a political stunt aimed at shoring up support with the unions and Australians who seem to think we have a car manufacturing industry.

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