At the start of last year I did not update my Australian stock market trends simply because I thought the market was basically going nowhere. This year however I feel it is worth looking at some interesting sectors again in an attempt to pick out some areas where investors might be able to find bargains and position themselves for the next bull market.
Entries Categorised as 'Investing'
Is This December Similar to 2007 & 2008 for Gold & U.S. Stocks?
November 28th, 2011 · 1 Comment
Thus far in 2011 the overall stock market movement has been much different from what we had in 2010. This year we have seen nothing but sideways to lower prices with wild price swings on a day to day basis. There just has not been any really solid trends to take advantage of this year. Instead we had to actively trade the oversold dips and sell into the overbought rallies to just pull money out of the market on a monthly basis. Last year we saw 3 major rallies that lasted several months making it easy for anyone who bought into the trend to make money if managed properly.
Are Gold & U.S. Stocks About to Repeat the 2010 Bottom?
October 17th, 2011 · 3 Comments
In May of 2010, immediately following the flash crash many investors started to become bearish (nervous) regarding their position in gold and equities. Once the general public became aware that the stock market could fall 10% in a matter of minutes, investors became very cautious. Suddenly protecting their capital and current positions was at the forefront of their investment process.
Time for a new Australian stock market investment strategy?
September 5th, 2011 · 12 Comments
Often finance writers comment that the investment world has changed since the Global Financial Crisis sent stock markets around the world tumbling in 2008 and 2009. Maybe that is true or maybe it’s just that investors stopped paying attention to the risks and focused too much on the possible profits? In any case, it’s time to think about what might happen in the next 5 years or so and contemplate making some changes to my Australian stock market investment strategy.
U.S. Market: Uncertainty & Panic Selling Provide Opportunity
August 1st, 2011 · 9 Comments
Over the past seven trading sessions we have seen stocks plummet in price because of the debt issues in the United States. I think a lot of individuals including myself thought that a bill would have been passed last week and with a plan underway money would flow back into stocks for a relief bounce at minimum. Instead, nothing was passed and that lead to strong selling into Friday’s close.
The Global Economy, Baltic Dry Index, Gold and China
April 18th, 2011 · 10 Comments
We are almost through a third of 2011 and the mood across global markets appears to be decidedly downbeat. The bullish voices of late 2010 have now faded and even the Reserve Bank of Australia and Federal Treasurer are sounding cautious. But don’t be fooled by the talk that recent events have caused the global economy to face headwinds because the reality is that 2011 was always going to be a tough year.
U.S Market: Are Stocks & Commodities About To Start Another Rally?
April 3rd, 2011 · 2 Comments
Over the past couple months everyone seems to have been preparing for a sharp market correction. Crazy part is that the SP500 dropped about 10% from the high and that is a typical bull market correction. The thing is… the stock market has a way of slowly unfolding making it look and feel minor, then before you know it, the correction is over and it’s back to an uptrend. That is kind of how this one unfolded.
Gold, USD, Stocks & Sentiment at Major Pivot Point
February 28th, 2011 · 1 Comment
So far 2011 has been an interesting to say the least. Stocks and commodities have been jumping around with high volatility generating mixed trading signals. This choppy price action typically indicates trends are in their late stages. The late stages of a trend is very difficult to trade because volatility rises meaning larger day to day price swings, and at any time the price could either drop like a rock or go parabolic surging higher in value.
Gold Miners Index May Be Warning Us
February 10th, 2011 · 2 Comments
The past couple weeks I have been keeping a close eye the price of gold and the gold miners index. I check to see if its pointing to higher or lower prices in the near future using inter-market analysis, price and volume, along with technical analysis. At this time the charts are still pointing to lower prices in the coming days or weeks.
Are rising Australian home prices good the economy?
February 7th, 2011 · 61 Comments
Often lost in the debate about house and home prices in Australia is the discussion regarding if our national obsession with housing is good or bad for the overall economy. Instead of rejoicing that residential real estate prices in Australia rose during the global financial crisis, maybe we should be looking a little closer at why prices are rising to see what problems this might be causing.
Not a time to be directionless!
February 1st, 2011 · 3 Comments
Scenario: Well another choppy day of trading on the Australian stock market after a fall overnight in the U.S. Any hint of bad news sends stocks heading south and investors big and small are a nervous bunch these days. The worst part about times like these is that anyone with a view of where the market is heading seems to get media time and what is even worse is the worn out phrases they use. At some point the market will stabilise, like it always has, and then continue to rise along with the growth of the global economy unless the end of the world really is nigh.
Precious Metals and the US Dollar’s Next Big Move
January 15th, 2011 · No Comments
There is a potentially big setup in precious metals sector along with the dollar which looks like its about to unfold. Since mid-October of last year gold started to show signs of distribution selling. Only a month later in November silver started warning us that some big players were taking some profits off the table also. Distribution selling is easy to spot on the charts. In short you will see heavy volume selling accompanied with strong moves to the downside.
Australian stock market outlook for 2011
January 4th, 2011 · 26 Comments
As another year starts it’s time for me to make another stock market forecast, one which I will probably regret making in just a few months time. Generally speaking, I expect that 2011 is not going to be particularly kind to the Australian economy and therefore my Australian stock market forecast is not going to make market bulls very happy.
