Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Investing'

Gold, USD, Stocks & Sentiment at Major Pivot Point

February 28th, 2011 · 1 Comment

So far 2011 has been an interesting to say the least. Stocks and commodities have been jumping around with high volatility generating mixed trading signals. This choppy price action typically indicates trends are in their late stages. The late stages of a trend is very difficult to trade because volatility rises meaning larger day to day price swings, and at any time the price could either drop like a rock or go parabolic surging higher in value.

Stockwatch: Fosters Group Limited (FGL)

February 14th, 2011 · 6 Comments

Fosters Group Limited (ASX:FGL) is a blue-chip ASX-listed Australian beverage company with a wide range of brands covering beer, wine, spirits and ciders.  Over the last few years the company has faced a number of challenges and is now in the process of trying to improve it’s underlying business and deliver better value for shareholders.

Gold Miners Index May Be Warning Us

February 10th, 2011 · 2 Comments

The past couple weeks I have been keeping a close eye the price of gold and the gold miners index. I check to see if its pointing to higher or lower prices in the near future using inter-market analysis, price and volume, along with technical analysis. At this time the charts are still pointing to lower prices in the coming days or weeks.

Are rising Australian home prices good the economy?

February 7th, 2011 · 55 Comments

Often lost in the debate about house and home prices in Australia is the discussion regarding if our national obsession with housing is good or bad for the overall economy.  Instead of rejoicing that residential real estate prices in Australia rose during the global financial crisis, maybe we should be looking a little closer at why prices are rising to see what problems this might be causing.

Not a time to be directionless!

February 1st, 2011 · 3 Comments

Scenario: Well another choppy day of trading on the Australian stock market after a fall overnight in the U.S. Any hint of bad news sends stocks heading south and investors big and small are a nervous bunch these days. The worst part about times like these is that anyone with a view of where the market is heading seems to get media time and what is even worse is the worn out phrases they use. At some point the market will stabilise, like it always has, and then continue to rise along with the growth of the global economy unless the end of the world really is nigh.

Precious Metals and the US Dollar’s Next Big Move

January 15th, 2011 · No Comments

There is a potentially big setup in precious metals sector along with the dollar which looks like its about to unfold. Since mid-October of last year gold started to show signs of distribution selling. Only a month later in November silver started warning us that some big players were taking some profits off the table also. Distribution selling is easy to spot on the charts. In short you will see heavy volume selling accompanied with strong moves to the downside.

Australian stock market outlook for 2011

January 4th, 2011 · 26 Comments

As another year starts it’s time for me to make another stock market forecast, one which I will probably regret making in just a few months time. Generally speaking, I expect that 2011 is not going to be particularly kind to the Australian economy and therefore my Australian stock market forecast is not going to make market bulls very happy.

A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: December 2010

December 31st, 2010 · 8 Comments

After some promising gains in the first part of 2010 the Australian stock market closed down today to finish the year basically unchanged. In plain English the share market essentially did nothing in 2010 and so if the Australian economy is really booming, then this is not being reflected in the performance of the ASX All Ordinaries or S&P/ASX 200.

A double dip recession, fear and keeping an open mind.

August 27th, 2010 · 32 Comments

Well the Dow Jones closed this morning below 10,000 and for those financial writers who focus more on grabbing reader’s attention rather than on facts, that can only mean one thing: the U.S economy is heading for a double dip recession! Of course the fact that the U.S economy is actually expanding, as are other major economies like China, Japan and Germany, appears irrelevant to many market commentators who seem intent on making investors fear that another economic crisis is at hand.

The ASX All Ordinaries Index, ETF GOLD, BHP and QBE.

February 22nd, 2010 · 23 Comments

It may not appear to some investors that the stock market is functioning normally again, but the manner by which the  recent correction was quickly reversed indicates that in fact things are getting back to normal. Certainly there is a long way to go before the ASX All Ordinaries crawls back up to 2007 levels, but at least now a correction is just a correction and not the start of a massive wave of panicked selling.

A stock market correction, some panic and nervous investors.

February 5th, 2010 · 32 Comments

Over the last week the Australian stock market has taken a turn downwards pretty much inline with markets across Asia, Europe and the U.S.  Once again no mater how much the RBA talks up our economy, the fact is that Australia’s economic health depends on how our major trading partners are doing and investors are starting to get worried about the global economic outlook.

Shareswatch Australia Blog: hits & misses of 2009

January 8th, 2010 · 2 Comments

It is time once again to put my ramblings, rants and ruminations for the previous 12 months under the spotlight. Did I correctly spot any stock market or economic trends or should I be standing in the corner with the dunce cap on for most of 2010?

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