Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Real Estate'

The Japanese economy: fragile but improving.

July 7th, 2009 · 4 Comments

It has been hard to write much about the Japanese economy of late simply because the economic data appeared to change every day. But over the last few weeks things do seem to have stabilised and both the government and the private sector in Japan generally agree that the economy probably hit the bottom earlier this year.

Australian home prices, spending trends and statistics.

June 8th, 2009 · 15 Comments

The debate about where Australian home prices are heading appears to be getting more intense these days. Commentators who have been predicting home prices will crash have seized on falls seen so far as proof they are right, whereas those who believe prices will not crash pounce on the same data and says it supports their view. Confusing isn’t it?

Are we in a gold bubble? Could gold prices fall?

April 4th, 2009 · 26 Comments

During an economic crisis many investors head for the safety of gold and there is no doubt that since the global economic crisis began that gold was one of the best places to have your money. But is gold still the place to have your money and is it as safe as some commentators seem to imply? Perhaps gold is now trading at bubble like prices and like many commodities last year,  we will see its price correct downwards.

The Australian home prices debate Part 2: Why prices may not collapse.

March 21st, 2009 · 171 Comments

In Part 1 of the Australian home prices debate I looked at some of the factors that could drive home prices down in Australia. Now in Part 2, I shall outline the other side of the debate and consider the arguments that support the view that the Australian residential property market will generally withstand the fallout from the global financial crisis and not follow prices down in a similar way to the U.S. and U.K.

The Australian home prices debate Part 1: Why prices may fall.

March 19th, 2009 · 339 Comments

One of the most discussed economic topics at the moment in Australia is regarding whether real estate prices are about to plunge across the nation or if Australian residential property will generally be spared from the savage price falls seen in the U.S. and the U.K.  Rather than take sides in this debate, I will merely outline some of the arguments being tossed around in newspapers, online forums and blogs etc. and see how well they hold up to scrutiny.

Outlook for the Japanese economy in 2009.

January 28th, 2009 · No Comments

There is no doubt that the Japanese economy is suffering as a result of the global economic crisis. However much of the reporting in the western media is at best poor journalism and at worst, simply wrong.  So rather than focus on sensational attention grabbing headlines, let’s look at some forecasts and facts.

The inflation genie and the deflation goblin.

January 21st, 2009 · 4 Comments

Well it seems the inflation genie is back in the bottle and that the bottle is back in the cupboard. Therefore our wise leaders in Canberra have in less than 12 months gone from fighting inflation, to trying to stimulate growth and save the Australian economy from recession. Of course none of the economic problems Australia faces today have anything to do with government blunders, it is all China’s fault.

A stock market rout and probable recession: it could be worse.

December 5th, 2008 · No Comments

There is not a lot of good economic news in circulation at the moment. Today for example I read that the Dubai real estate market is heading for a big fall, and so it seems one of the last pockets economic optimism is about to get that gloomy feeling. I guess this might mean the end of man made islands shaped like continents, so perhaps it is not all bad news.

The G-20, bad news and further stock market falls.

November 20th, 2008 · No Comments

Well the market has continued to fall during the past few weeks and now I am starting to wonder if we will even see the bear market reach a bottom this year. You might recall I was counting on the market to rally by now so clearly events have not worked out as I expected. But there are reasons why we have not seen a major sustained rally and I think it is useful to look at some of these reasons in detail.

The real estate market in Japan – outlook for 2009.

October 21st, 2008 · 4 Comments

As most people will probably know, real estate prices in Japan collapsed in the early 1990’s as part of the damage caused by the bursting of the infamous Japanese bubble economy. Sadly for the Japanese economy, there was no magical recovery and the dizzying prices seen in the late 1980’s were never seen again. Prices dropped for years and Japan entered a period often labelled as “the lost decade”. (although the term seems a little harsh to me)

It hurts. It’s a Bear Market!

August 21st, 2008 · No Comments

Nobody likes to see their investment portfolio decrease in value but for most of us, that is what has been happening now for most of 2008. The downturn in the stock market has hit everyone, from top fund managers to amateur stock traders and there must be a lot of nervous people close to selling out of the market.

For the record: July 2008

July 24th, 2008 · No Comments

One thing that really annoys me about many financial journalists and market commentators is they often imply that that they have some unique insight into the market, yet they rarely disclose how they took advantage of their wisdom.

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