Recently the markets appear to have settled somewhat and the Australian stock market has steadily been heading higher so far in 2012. Could we be seeing the early signs of another bull market taking hold or are we about to see another sharp correction take the ASX All Ordinaries back down towards 4000 and perhaps lower?
Entries Categorised as 'Stockmarket'
Stock market & investment trends for 2012 and beyond.
January 16th, 2012 · 5 Comments
At the start of last year I did not update my Australian stock market trends simply because I thought the market was basically going nowhere. This year however I feel it is worth looking at some interesting sectors again in an attempt to pick out some areas where investors might be able to find bargains and position themselves for the next bull market.
Australian stock market outlook & forecast for 2012.
January 8th, 2012 · 27 Comments
The ASX All Ordinaries Index and S&P/ASX 200 Index finished much lower than I expected in 2011, so this makes me somewhat reluctant to go on record and make an Australian stock market forecast for 2012. However the process of looking at the various economic data and trying to guess where the market will end is a useful one, so foolishly I will outline once again my Australian stock market forecast for the year ahead.
Oil Prices, the Baltic Dry Index, Stock Markets & Gold.
December 7th, 2011 · 33 Comments
The interest rate cut yesterday by the Reserve Bank of Australia suggests that finally the RBA understands that the Chinese economy will not keep expanding at a rapid rate while its major trading partners are struggling. But even if the Chinese economy slows more than most economists expect this is unlikely to send the global economy back into a GFC-like slump.
Australian stocks aren’t bouncing, they’re limping.
November 29th, 2011 · 12 Comments
If you were to believe some of the ramblings on mainstream media sites you might get the impression that Australian stocks have on occasions bounced back strongly and that in some way this is a reflection of how well the Australian economy is doing. However the reality is that the Australian stock market has been trending downwards since July and many stocks are simply limping from one week to the next.
The Global Financial Crisis, the G-20 & S&P/ASX 200 Index.
November 5th, 2011 · 13 Comments
The continuing debt crisis in Europe is a reminder to investors that we are still in the midst of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) which first gripped the markets back in 2008. The G20′s first cunning plan to spend their way out of trouble didn’t do much to fix the root causes of the GFC and so they are gathered once again for another talkfest which at best, might give the markets a kick upwards for a few days.
Market volatility, debt & the commodities slide.
October 21st, 2011 · 35 Comments
Over the last six months stock markets globally have become more volatile as Europe and the U.S. struggle to revive their economies. To make things more complicated many advanced economies have racked up so much debt during the ‘good times’ that they now don’t have the capacity to spend their way out of trouble. There will be no quick fixes and the situation is worrying enough to even rattle the commodities bulls.
Are Gold & U.S. Stocks About to Repeat the 2010 Bottom?
October 17th, 2011 · 3 Comments
In May of 2010, immediately following the flash crash many investors started to become bearish (nervous) regarding their position in gold and equities. Once the general public became aware that the stock market could fall 10% in a matter of minutes, investors became very cautious. Suddenly protecting their capital and current positions was at the forefront of their investment process.
A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: October 2011
October 11th, 2011 · 17 Comments
So far 2011 has not been a good year for the Australian stock market despite the ASX All Ordinaries & S&P/ASX 200 flirting with the 5000 points level earlier in the year. Over recent months the market has fallen back into bear market territory so a review at this stage of some 52 week stock price highs & low may give us an insight into how the market is tracking.
The ASX All Ordinaries and the Commodities Bubble.
October 5th, 2011 · 8 Comments
Prices for hard commodities such as copper, iron ore & coal have risen strongly over the past decade and are now trading well above their long term historical averages. This in turn drove the ASX All Ordinaries Index to a bull market high in 2007 and has helped put some support under the market ever since. But is it realistic to expect high commodities prices will keep propping up the Australian stock market?
A bear market, the G-20 circus & another report.
September 28th, 2011 · 38 Comments
This week the Australian stock market slid into what I would call a bear market although some would argue that it has avoided such fate by a whisker. The reality is however that the ASX All Ordinaries did close below 4000 recently and that represents a drop of just over 20% from levels seen in April. If it looks and feels like a bear market, then for me it is a bear market.
Review of S&P/ASX 200 Sector Indices: XNJ, XDJ, XMJ, XPJ & XJO.
September 21st, 2011 · 13 Comments
In the midst of all this market madness it might be useful for investors to sit back and look at what various sectors of the Australian stock market have being doing over the last ten years to see if we can spot any emerging trends. We all know for example that the resources sector has been generally kind to investors over the last few years but will it continue to be a strong performer in the years ahead?
The stampede towards global economic pessimism
September 13th, 2011 · 29 Comments
A sure sign that an economic trend has been established is when the OECD finally jumps on the trend bandwagon and recently the OECD has joined the group of recently converted economic pessimists. Gone are the days when big borrowing, big spending governments would save the day – the theme of the day now is hang onto your hats because we might be in for a bumpy ride.
Time for a new Australian stock market investment strategy?
September 5th, 2011 · 12 Comments
Often finance writers comment that the investment world has changed since the Global Financial Crisis sent stock markets around the world tumbling in 2008 and 2009. Maybe that is true or maybe it’s just that investors stopped paying attention to the risks and focused too much on the possible profits? In any case, it’s time to think about what might happen in the next 5 years or so and contemplate making some changes to my Australian stock market investment strategy.
A decade in review: the ASX All Ords, BHP, HVN, RIO, WOW & more.
August 29th, 2011 · 8 Comments
Often it is useful to step away from looking at the daily movements of the stock market and review what has happened over the last decade. This won’t exactly tell investors which stocks will do well during the next 10 years, but it does show which trends have moved the market to where it is now.
