Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Stockmarket'

Could the next bull market be already underway?

May 5th, 2009 · 34 Comments

Without doubt the 2008-2009 bear market has been savage and most investors have seen their investment portfolios take a battering.  This year has been particularly unnerving as the Australian stock market looked like it may fall below 3000 just some weeks ago and we were heading for levels not seen since the last bear market.  But just as all bull markets come to an end so do bear markets, and so I cannot help wondering if the rally since the lows of March (Ides of March?) mean we are already in the next bull market phase?

World stock markets rally: is the bear back in its cage?

April 14th, 2009 · 4 Comments

Without a doubt there are a lot of scary economic numbers out there and as far as the Australian economy goes, things seem to be heading downhill fast. But as strange as it seems, the bad news recently has not been all that bad and actually there has even been some good news. So is it possible that at long last that the bear is back in its cage?

A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: March 2009

March 30th, 2009 · 8 Comments

In September last year I looked at the 52 week share price highs and lows for a range of well know stocks trading on the ASX. As luck would have it, a few days later Lehman Brothers went under and stock markets around the world tumbled. But now that the dust has settled (I hope), it might be interesting to go back and look at these companies and see what has happened to their stock prices since September 2008.

QBE and the ASX All Ordinaries – are they back in sync?

March 27th, 2009 · 1 Comment

Back in October last year I wrote about the relationship I saw between the QBE stock price and the ASX All Ordinaries Index. At that time I suggested that the relationship had broken down as a result of the chaos caused by the failure of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, so now around 6 months later it seems a good time to have a look again at the relationship between the QBE and All Ordinaries stock price charts.

The recession, economic stimulus and the stock market.

March 15th, 2009 · 53 Comments

Often economists, journalists and politicians use so much jargon when talking about the current economic situation that is is hard to follow what they are actually trying to say. Economists for example cannot seem to agree on anything except that they are legends in their own minds, journalists try and fumble through economic discussions and politicians simply try and convince us they know what they are talking about. The simple fact is much of the time all three groups talk utter rubbish.

Dealing with a battered stocks portfolio in a bear market.

March 12th, 2009 · 2 Comments

Most investors in the stock market are today looking at some nasty losses in their portfolios. Some investors may have already sold shares and incurred losses while others may be nursing stocks that have lost 50% or more of their value since late 2007 and hoping they will recover some value. The question that confronts all of us now is: what do I do from this point onwards?

Has the stock market finally bottomed?

February 19th, 2009 · 6 Comments

So far in 2009 the Australian stock market has basically moved sideways with little movement that would suggest that the 4000 level will soon be breached. However this might actually be a positive sign and could signal that finally a bottom in the stock market is forming.

Could we see a stock market rally in 2009?

February 12th, 2009 · No Comments

Our daily dose of business news appears universally bad, the global economy seems to be in a free fall and yet many investors are looking for signs of life and a stock market rally. Is it possible the next bull market could start in 2009, and could we see the Australian stock market stage a significant recovery this year?

Is the golden era for the Australian stock market over?

January 10th, 2009 · 3 Comments

One question that investors need to consider amongst all this market turmoil is; has the dream run of the Australian stock market come to end? Perhaps for example the days of the Australian market (ASX) outperforming the Dow Jones Index are over and we need to be prepared for less glamorous returns? We might even have to put aside our patriotic feelings and look offshore for better returns in the future?

Shareswatch Blog: hits and misses of 2008.

January 6th, 2009 · 3 Comments

There is something you should have noticed by now about most of the finance and stock market related news websites and that is; they are great at picking the best and worst investment events of the past, but they say very little about how accurate their analysis of events were throughout the year.

Christmas 2008 and the stock market.

December 24th, 2008 · 3 Comments

Well it is Christmas Eve and amazingly the ASX All Ordinaries has defied Wall Street and closed higher.  Although I am of course pleased, I know that unless there is a mother of all stock market rallies that 2008 is going to be a shocker for shares. It seems a great result for this year would for the All Ords to climb back to around 4000, although this would still be well below where I thought the bottom of the market would be. (i.e around 4800) It is dangerous business trying to pick the bottom of the market and I certainly made a mess of my attempt to do so!

Australian stock market outlook for 2009.

December 20th, 2008 · 2 Comments

Like most stock market investors I will end the year well and truly bruised.  Although I wrote earlier in the year that 2008 would not be a good for Australian shares, I have to admit I did not think it was going to be this bad. Therefore I am hesitant to make any comments regarding the Australian stock market in 2009 as I am sure to find little turns out as I expect.  However just as Nigel Tufnel was able to rise above substandard catering on the Spinal Tap Tour, I am going to rise above the current carnage and outline what I think will happen as next year unfolds.

A stock market rout and probable recession: it could be worse.

December 5th, 2008 · No Comments

There is not a lot of good economic news in circulation at the moment. Today for example I read that the Dubai real estate market is heading for a big fall, and so it seems one of the last pockets economic optimism is about to get that gloomy feeling. I guess this might mean the end of man made islands shaped like continents, so perhaps it is not all bad news.

The All Ordinaries and Dow Jones: For better or for worse.

November 25th, 2008 · No Comments

One of the trends this year is that the Australian stock market has followed the lead from the U.S markets more directly than in previous years. Of course our stock market has always been influenced by the movement of the Dow Jones Index, but it is easy to forget that Australian stocks have often held up much better than those in the U.S. In particular, over the last 5 years our stock market has been a great place to invest largely due to the boost from the commodities boom and record profits in the financial sector.

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