Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Stockmarket'

For the record: May 2009

May 9th, 2009 · 2 Comments

Well it is time to reflect once again on some of the stock positions I have taken over the last 6 months or so. Although this is often a painful experience, I would suggest to anyone who invests in shares to regularly reflect on how their portfolio is tracking and revisit the reasons why they purchased (or sold) a particular stock. Often we can learn a little about our own investing style if we have a brutal look at our past investments and this may help us make better investment decisions in the future.

Could the next bull market be already underway?

May 5th, 2009 · 34 Comments

Without doubt the 2008-2009 bear market has been savage and most investors have seen their investment portfolios take a battering.  This year has been particularly unnerving as the Australian stock market looked like it may fall below 3000 just some weeks ago and we were heading for levels not seen since the last bear market.  But just as all bull markets come to an end so do bear markets, and so I cannot help wondering if the rally since the lows of March (Ides of March?) mean we are already in the next bull market phase?

World stock markets rally: is the bear back in its cage?

April 14th, 2009 · 4 Comments

Without a doubt there are a lot of scary economic numbers out there and as far as the Australian economy goes, things seem to be heading downhill fast. But as strange as it seems, the bad news recently has not been all that bad and actually there has even been some good news. So is it possible that at long last that the bear is back in its cage?

A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: March 2009

March 30th, 2009 · 8 Comments

In September last year I looked at the 52 week share price highs and lows for a range of well know stocks trading on the ASX. As luck would have it, a few days later Lehman Brothers went under and stock markets around the world tumbled. But now that the dust has settled (I hope), it might be interesting to go back and look at these companies and see what has happened to their stock prices since September 2008.

QBE and the ASX All Ordinaries – are they back in sync?

March 27th, 2009 · 1 Comment

Back in October last year I wrote about the relationship I saw between the QBE stock price and the ASX All Ordinaries Index. At that time I suggested that the relationship had broken down as a result of the chaos caused by the failure of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, so now around 6 months later it seems a good time to have a look again at the relationship between the QBE and All Ordinaries stock price charts.

The recession, economic stimulus and the stock market.

March 15th, 2009 · 53 Comments

Often economists, journalists and politicians use so much jargon when talking about the current economic situation that is is hard to follow what they are actually trying to say. Economists for example cannot seem to agree on anything except that they are legends in their own minds, journalists try and fumble through economic discussions and politicians simply try and convince us they know what they are talking about. The simple fact is much of the time all three groups talk utter rubbish.

Dealing with a battered stocks portfolio in a bear market.

March 12th, 2009 · 2 Comments

Most investors in the stock market are today looking at some nasty losses in their portfolios. Some investors may have already sold shares and incurred losses while others may be nursing stocks that have lost 50% or more of their value since late 2007 and hoping they will recover some value. The question that confronts all of us now is: what do I do from this point onwards?

Economic Lessons from Japan.

March 3rd, 2009 · No Comments

Searching the reasons for Japan’s ‘lost decade’ – the deflation and stunted growth said to have plagued Japan ever since the collapse of the Bubble economy in the early nineties – has long been popular among US and UK commentators seeking an answer to the West’s current economic problems. The interest is welcome. But some of the results are bizarre. Almost all the main US media, the conservative Wall Street Journal in particular, have run articles saying the blame lies with Japan’s post-Bubble, Keynesian-style infrastructure spending.

Has the stock market finally bottomed?

February 19th, 2009 · 6 Comments

So far in 2009 the Australian stock market has basically moved sideways with little movement that would suggest that the 4000 level will soon be breached. However this might actually be a positive sign and could signal that finally a bottom in the stock market is forming.

Could we see a stock market rally in 2009?

February 12th, 2009 · No Comments

Our daily dose of business news appears universally bad, the global economy seems to be in a free fall and yet many investors are looking for signs of life and a stock market rally. Is it possible the next bull market could start in 2009, and could we see the Australian stock market stage a significant recovery this year?

Is the golden era for the Australian stock market over?

January 10th, 2009 · 3 Comments

One question that investors need to consider amongst all this market turmoil is; has the dream run of the Australian stock market come to end? Perhaps for example the days of the Australian market (ASX) outperforming the Dow Jones Index are over and we need to be prepared for less glamorous returns? We might even have to put aside our patriotic feelings and look offshore for better returns in the future?

Shareswatch Blog: hits and misses of 2008.

January 6th, 2009 · 3 Comments

There is something you should have noticed by now about most of the finance and stock market related news websites and that is; they are great at picking the best and worst investment events of the past, but they say very little about how accurate their analysis of events were throughout the year.

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