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Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Stockmarket'

Australian stocks rally but risks remain high

October 25th, 2013 · 20 Comments

Today the ASX All Ordinaries Index is up near the 5400 level with few signs that the current rally which started in July is about to fade. For market bulls this is a joyous occasion and for long term investors such as myself, it is a welcome change from years of the market edging sideways. However I will not be breaking out the champagne just yet as there are risks out there which seem to be getting over-looked.

U.S. Market Update: Why Investors Must Be Cautious At These Prices

October 18th, 2013 · No Comments

Last week on October 8th the financial market experienced a broad based sell off. Every sector was down with utilities being the only exception. The individual leadership stocks, which are typically small to mid-cap companies (IWM – Russell 2K) that have a strong history and outlook of earnings growth, were hit hard as well.

Charts Review: ASX All Ords, CBA, RIO, WOW & LLC

October 4th, 2013 · 3 Comments

It might surprise some readers to know that over the last 6 months the Australian stock market has essentially moved sideways again.  It’s true that over the last quarter the market has posted a healthy gain and this sort of action gets analysts & reporters very excited. But the boring longer term reality is that the All Ords was hovering around 5,200 in May and that is where it is now.

Baltic Dry Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Gold & AMEX Charts

September 25th, 2013 · 13 Comments

There is a lot of confusing news & information swirling around regarding the markets these days. Depending on who you listen to either the U.S. economy is recovering or Ben Bernanke is the ultimate asset bubble creator. In China some see the economy in a state of planned transition whereas others (including myself), see it as a command economy fuelled by unsustainable credit growth. Meanwhile in Australia there appears to be some confusion regarding if the mining boom is over or just having a rest?

Review of S&P/ASX Index Charts: XSJ, XFJ, XPJ, XDJ, XMJ & XNJ

July 26th, 2013 · 6 Comments

As the Australian stock market continues to essentially drift sideways perhaps now is a good time to step away from looking at individual stocks and look at which sectors have been moving the wider S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) Index. To do this I am going to focus on six S&P/ASX 200 sector indices namely the S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Staples (XSJ), S&P/ASX 200 Financials (XFJ), S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT (XPJ), S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary (XDJ), S&P/ASX 200 Materials (XMJ) and S&P/ASX 200 Industrials (XNJ).

Charts, Chanos & China – ASX charts & short term outlook

July 3rd, 2013 · 18 Comments

As per the script, finance journalists were engaged in a fierce battle for readers yesterday with most getting very excited about the ASX All Ordinaries and S&P/ASX 200  posting gains of over 2.5%. It was the best day for the market since whenever they exclaimed and the bearish articles they had churned out just a week before were all forgotten.

A Stock Market Correction. So What?

June 21st, 2013 · 21 Comments

The markets have had a rough time of late and yesterday the combination of Ben Bernake talking about a slowdown in printing dollars and a weak PMI figure out of China resulted in all major stock markets falling with the Dow Jones slumping by more than -350 points overnight. Ouch!

For the Australian stock market, moving sideways may be a good outcome.

June 10th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Over the last few years I have written on several occasions about how the Australian stock market has essentially moved sideways and how I expected both the All Ordinaries Index and ASX S&P/ASX 200 to both bounce around between 4800 – 5200.  Even when the market bulls got excited recently as the 5200 level was briefly breached, I maintained my long held view that the market is trading in a recession like zone.

The 2013 Federal Budget, the Australian Economy and Gold

May 20th, 2013 · 83 Comments

For the last few years I have been warning that steps needed to be taken to prepare the Australian economy for when the commodities cycles would turn downwards. Back when I first started writing about this, it was almost considered treason to even suggest the mining boom may draw to a close. But these days even the RBA, Treasury and Wayne Swan are talking about the end of the commodities boom.

Commonwealth Bank and Rio Tinto – a shorter term trading strategy

May 10th, 2013 · 5 Comments

At the moment there is so much confusion across the global markets that is makes me less reluctant to take long term positions. One day we see Chinese trade data which appears good, but there are questions about its reliability. Over in the U.S the economy appears to be improving, but what will happen when the Fed starts to wind back quantitative easing measures? Meanwhile in Japan, Abenomics is shaking up the markets and there is considerable pressure on leaders across the EU to ease up on austerity measures.

A mixed market outlook and long term investing

April 30th, 2013 · 20 Comments

The Australian stock market has posted some good gains recently with the ASX All Ordinaries Index and S&P/ASX 200 Index both closing above 5100 yesterday. Instead of the markets showing some weakness as I expected, they appear to be rallying even despite falls in commodities prices and warning signs that the Chinese economy may start to slow again. This makes it difficult to get a feel for where the markets might be heading and economic stimulus measures in the United States, China and Japan complicate the outlook even further.

Tough times for Gold Prices, Mining Stocks & the ASX 200

April 18th, 2013 · 36 Comments

It has been quite a week with investors needing to digest the slump in gold prices and also the weakening of commodity prices as well.  Although I have been warning about both a gold and commodities bubble for some time,  I have to admit I didn’t expect the gold price to fall back quite this much, this early.

ASX Charts Review: S&P/ASX 200, All Ords Index, CBA, GOLD & TLS

April 8th, 2013 · 37 Comments

The Australian stock market appears poised to head lower this week and there are signs that the rally which started in the middle of 2012, is turning into a decent sized correction. Over the next week or so the key areas to watch will be the mining stocks, banking stocks and gold prices. But already if we look at some charts in these areas we can see a trend developing.

What could be the next move for the ASX All Ordinaries Index?

March 27th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Since mid last year, the Australian stock market has staged a fairly impressive rally with the ASX All Ordinaries Index moving from a decidedly bearish level of down near 4000 to a bull market level of just under 5200 points. But of late the market has slipped back which will worry some investors, while others see this a simply a pause before the rally upwards continues.

A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: March 2013

March 6th, 2013 · 5 Comments

Since mid 2012 the Australian stock market has been on a roll with the ASX All Ords & S&P/ASX 200 both closing today above 5100 points as the bull market continues. When I last looked at a few 52 week high and low stock prices the All Ords/ASX 200 were around 4300 so not surprisingly most stocks are now trading much higher and investors generally should be a happier lot than they were back then. However some stocks have actually fared relatively poorly since October 2011 and this may help us understand what might be moving the stock market at the moment.

The ASX All Ordinaries March Towards 5000 – Been There, Done That

February 12th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Recently every move upwards the stock market takes, no matter how slight, is greeted with almost ecstatic cries of joy from many analysts, finance journalists and assorted market watchers. It’s as if the ASX All Ordinaries was heading towards a new high and investors were being showered with money in the midst of a raging bull market that had no limits. Certainly there have been good returns of late for those investors who timed their entry into market almost perfectly, but for longer term investors it’s more of case of here we go again.

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