Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Stockmarket'

Short Term ASX Market Outlook & Trading Strategy Update

February 24th, 2014 · 6 Comments

Over the last couple of weeks the Australian stock market has been on the rise with the ASX All Ordinaries & S&P/ASX 200 heading towards 5500. As a result there is now much talk about a bull market and of investors chasing yield which for me, is simply background noise. What I am really interested in is trying to understand if the market is set to keep rising or if it’s time to adopt a defensive strategy for the time being.

Australian Stock Market Outlook & Forecast for 2014

February 5th, 2014 · 31 Comments

This year I am a little late in dusting off the crystal ball but it’s now time once again to study the tea leaves, throw some bones over my shoulder and try and forecast how the ASX All Ordinaries Index & S&P/ASX 200 Index may perform this year. Firstly let me stress, as I have done many times in the past, that none of us mere mortals have the ability to see into the future and so any stock market forecast is a calculated or semi-calculated guess.

2013 ASX Stock Market Charts Review

January 13th, 2014 · 5 Comments

By the end of 2013 the ASX All Ordinaries Index (XAO) & S&P/ASX 200 Index (XJO) both gained around 15% which was a healthy above average annual gain with the long term return for stocks being around 10%. But we need to keep the 2013 gains in perspective and not get carried away by some of the media hype and excitable comments being made by fund managers & analysts etc.

U.S. Market Update: The Stock Market Holiday Bulge – Prepare for Selling

December 30th, 2013 · 6 Comments

So far this year (2013) has been a great year for trading and my 2014 forecast looks to be as good if not even better. I do have something exciting to share with you that is going to make 2014 really amazing, but first let me talk about the stock market and what is likely to unfold in the next week or two so you can protect your investments.

ASX All Ordinaries Index: Charts, Analysis & Trading Ranges

December 16th, 2013 · 5 Comments

At this time of year we are bombarded with the less than useful reflections of market analysts, brokers and finance columnists who use the benefit of hindsight to tell us mere mortals how they spotted the trends for the year and how easy it was to have profited from the stock market. I however will spare my readers this ordeal and calmly analyse charts of the ASX All Ordinaries Index going back 10 years. I will also look back on the long term outlook for the Australian stock market that I outlined in 2009 and review how events have unfolded since then.

Australian stocks rally but risks remain high

October 25th, 2013 · 20 Comments

Today the ASX All Ordinaries Index is up near the 5400 level with few signs that the current rally which started in July is about to fade. For market bulls this is a joyous occasion and for long term investors such as myself, it is a welcome change from years of the market edging sideways. However I will not be breaking out the champagne just yet as there are risks out there which seem to be getting over-looked.

U.S. Market Update: Why Investors Must Be Cautious At These Prices

October 18th, 2013 · No Comments

Last week on October 8th the financial market experienced a broad based sell off. Every sector was down with utilities being the only exception. The individual leadership stocks, which are typically small to mid-cap companies (IWM – Russell 2K) that have a strong history and outlook of earnings growth, were hit hard as well.

Charts Review: ASX All Ords, CBA, RIO, WOW & LLC

October 4th, 2013 · 3 Comments

It might surprise some readers to know that over the last 6 months the Australian stock market has essentially moved sideways again.  It’s true that over the last quarter the market has posted a healthy gain and this sort of action gets analysts & reporters very excited. But the boring longer term reality is that the All Ords was hovering around 5,200 in May and that is where it is now.

Baltic Dry Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Gold & AMEX Charts

September 25th, 2013 · 13 Comments

There is a lot of confusing news & information swirling around regarding the markets these days. Depending on who you listen to either the U.S. economy is recovering or Ben Bernanke is the ultimate asset bubble creator. In China some see the economy in a state of planned transition whereas others (including myself), see it as a command economy fuelled by unsustainable credit growth. Meanwhile in Australia there appears to be some confusion regarding if the mining boom is over or just having a rest?

Review of S&P/ASX Index Charts: XSJ, XFJ, XPJ, XDJ, XMJ & XNJ

July 26th, 2013 · 6 Comments

As the Australian stock market continues to essentially drift sideways perhaps now is a good time to step away from looking at individual stocks and look at which sectors have been moving the wider S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) Index. To do this I am going to focus on six S&P/ASX 200 sector indices namely the S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Staples (XSJ), S&P/ASX 200 Financials (XFJ), S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT (XPJ), S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary (XDJ), S&P/ASX 200 Materials (XMJ) and S&P/ASX 200 Industrials (XNJ).

Charts, Chanos & China – ASX charts & short term outlook

July 3rd, 2013 · 18 Comments

As per the script, finance journalists were engaged in a fierce battle for readers yesterday with most getting very excited about the ASX All Ordinaries and S&P/ASX 200  posting gains of over 2.5%. It was the best day for the market since whenever they exclaimed and the bearish articles they had churned out just a week before were all forgotten.

A Stock Market Correction. So What?

June 21st, 2013 · 21 Comments

The markets have had a rough time of late and yesterday the combination of Ben Bernake talking about a slowdown in printing dollars and a weak PMI figure out of China resulted in all major stock markets falling with the Dow Jones slumping by more than -350 points overnight. Ouch!

For the Australian stock market, moving sideways may be a good outcome.

June 10th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Over the last few years I have written on several occasions about how the Australian stock market has essentially moved sideways and how I expected both the All Ordinaries Index and ASX S&P/ASX 200 to both bounce around between 4800 – 5200.  Even when the market bulls got excited recently as the 5200 level was briefly breached, I maintained my long held view that the market is trading in a recession like zone.

The 2013 Federal Budget, the Australian Economy and Gold

May 20th, 2013 · 83 Comments

For the last few years I have been warning that steps needed to be taken to prepare the Australian economy for when the commodities cycles would turn downwards. Back when I first started writing about this, it was almost considered treason to even suggest the mining boom may draw to a close. But these days even the RBA, Treasury and Wayne Swan are talking about the end of the commodities boom.

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