Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Categorised as 'Stockmarket'

Is the Australian stock market reaching a bottom?

May 25th, 2012 · 15 Comments

For sometime I have been talking about the Australian stock market searching for a bottom of around 4000 for the ASX All Ordinaries & S&P/ASX 200. At of the close of markets yesterday, both indices were around that level, so could this mean the Australian stock market has reached a bottom?

Are Australian stocks poised to trend lower?

May 8th, 2012 · 36 Comments

There is nothing particularly exciting about the Australian stock market these days. The malaise which has essentially paralysed the government seems to have spread to the business sector which in turn is slowly sucking the lifeblood out of the share market. It’s unlikely that things will improve soon and so investors should prepare themselves for the market to move lower over the next few months.

Why the U.S. Dollar is Critical for the S&P 500 Index this Week.

April 30th, 2012 · 4 Comments

Unfortunately I was sick the past few weeks and I am just now getting back into the swing of things. Similar to the demand pull that the warmer than usual spring has had on macroeconomic data, the warmer spring caused me to have an earlier than usual sinus infection as well as some horrific allergies. I suppose I am pushing it a bit far when I am comparing my health concerns to economic data, but alas I fly my nerd flag proudly.

Stock charts review: BHP, RIO, GMI, GFF, S&P/ASX 200 Financials & Small Ordinaries Index.

April 13th, 2012 · 1 Comment

Australian stocks seem to be enjoying a broad rally today and I suspect the mainstream financial media will churn out bullish sounding headlines when the market closes.  But if we step back and review a few charts it’s pretty clear that the Australian stock market is stuck in a rut and I don’t see it breaking free any time soon.

Analysis of the Australian S&P/ASX 200 Index – March 2012

March 28th, 2012 · 2 Comments

Almost daily the mainstream finance & business media churn out headlines regarding the stock market that would imply that stocks are either surging to new highs or falling to new lows.  The truth however is much more boring and so today I will try and have an emotion-free look at what the S&P/ASX 200 Index has been doing over the last few years & months.

Stock Charts Review: DJS, HVN, WOW & DMP.

March 19th, 2012 · 4 Comments

An extended stock market market downturn such as the one we are experiencing now provides long term investors with an opportunity to gauge how well companies have been able to deal with harsh economic conditions.  So today let’s have a look at four consumer spending related Australian listed companies and see how they have fared over the last five years.

Stock Charts Review: ASX All Ords, CBA, PPT, AGK, GMI & GOLD.

March 4th, 2012 · 2 Comments

So far this year the Australian stock market had managed to edge slowly upwards and the All Ordinaries Index appears poised to settle above 4400 during the next week or so. Although the risks of a major Eurozone economic implosion appear to be fading, the signs are that the economy in China continues to slow and it appears the U.S. economy is still struggling. The situation in China in particular is likely to have a major impact on where the Australian stock market heads next over the following few months.

Charts Review: S&P/ASX 200, JB Hi-Fi, ASX All Ords & QBE.

February 15th, 2012 · 3 Comments

It may appear to some investors that the Australian stock market has started 2012 in the same volatile manner as we have become use to over the last few years, however trading so far this year has been fairly calm.  An optimist might believe that this is an indication that the markets are finally settling down though I fear we are simply enjoying a period of calm before we enter a stormy phase again.

U.S. Markets: Is Gold Signaling a Top in the S&P 500?

February 7th, 2012 · 6 Comments

Friday morning traders and market participants awaited the key January employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The reaction to the supposedly wonderful report was a surge in the S&P 500 E-Mini futures contracts as well as several other key equity index futures.

Are Australian stocks set to ride another bull market?

January 27th, 2012 · 23 Comments

Recently the markets appear to have settled somewhat and the Australian stock market has steadily been heading higher so far in 2012. Could we be seeing the early signs of another bull market taking hold or are we about to see another sharp correction take the ASX All Ordinaries back down towards 4000 and perhaps lower?

Stock market & investment trends for 2012 and beyond.

January 16th, 2012 · 7 Comments

At the start of last year I did not update my Australian stock market trends simply because I thought the market was basically going nowhere. This year however I feel it is worth looking at some interesting sectors again in an attempt to pick out some areas where investors might be able to find bargains and position themselves for the next bull market.

Australian stock market outlook & forecast for 2012

January 8th, 2012 · 60 Comments

The ASX All Ordinaries Index and S&P/ASX 200 Index finished much lower than I expected in 2011, so this makes me somewhat reluctant to go on record and make an Australian stock market forecast for 2012. However the process of looking at the various economic data and trying to guess where the market will end is a useful one, so foolishly I will outline once again my Australian stock market forecast for the year ahead.

Australian stock market charts review: market close 2011

December 31st, 2011 · 12 Comments

The Australian stock market has finished trading for the year with the ASX All Ordinaries & S&P & ASX 200 both closing around 15% lower for 2011. It has been a disappointing year for share market investors (yet again) with even the mining stocks stumbling lower over the last 12 months. Many investors might be under the impression that the market slid back over the last few months of 2011, however the Australian stock market has been trending down since as far back as April.

Oil Prices, the Baltic Dry Index, Stock Markets & Gold.

December 7th, 2011 · 34 Comments

The interest rate cut yesterday by the Reserve Bank of Australia suggests that finally the RBA understands that the Chinese economy will not keep expanding at a rapid rate while its major trading partners are struggling. But even if the Chinese economy slows more than most economists expect this is unlikely to send the global economy back into a GFC-like slump.

Australian stocks aren’t bouncing, they’re limping.

November 29th, 2011 · 12 Comments

If you were to believe some of the ramblings on mainstream media sites you might get the impression that Australian stocks have on occasions bounced back strongly and that in some way this is a reflection of how well the Australian economy is doing. However the reality is that the Australian stock market has been trending downwards since July and many stocks are simply limping from one week to the next.

The Global Financial Crisis, the G-20 & S&P/ASX 200 Index.

November 5th, 2011 · 13 Comments

The continuing debt crisis in Europe is a reminder to investors that we are still in the midst of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) which first gripped the markets back in 2008.  The G20’s first cunning plan to spend their way out of trouble didn’t do much to fix the root causes of the GFC and so they are gathered once again for another talkfest which at best, might give the markets a kick upwards for a few days.

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