Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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The Global Financial Crisis, the G-20 & S&P/ASX 200 Index.

November 5th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 13 Comments

The continuing debt crisis in Europe is a reminder to investors that we are still in the midst of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) which first gripped the markets back in 2008.  The G20’s first cunning plan to spend their way out of trouble didn’t do much to fix the root causes of the GFC and so they are gathered once again for another talkfest which at best, might give the markets a kick upwards for a few days.

Japan’s economic morality play.

October 26th, 2011 · Gregory Clark · 3 Comments

World attention focuses on the problems of the Greek economy — no doubt with a large helping of schadenfreude added: There, but for the grace of God, go the rest of us is the thought.

Market volatility, debt & the commodities slide.

October 21st, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 34 Comments

Over the last six months stock markets globally have become more volatile as Europe and the U.S. struggle to revive their economies.  To make things more complicated many advanced economies have racked up so much debt during the ‘good times’ that they now don’t have the capacity to spend their way out of trouble.  There will be no quick fixes and the situation is worrying enough to even rattle the commodities bulls.

Are Gold & U.S. Stocks About to Repeat the 2010 Bottom?

October 17th, 2011 · Chris Vermeulen · 3 Comments

In May of 2010, immediately following the flash crash many investors started to become bearish (nervous) regarding their position in gold and equities. Once the general public became aware that the stock market could fall 10% in a matter of minutes, investors became very cautious. Suddenly protecting their capital and current positions was at the forefront of their investment process.

A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: October 2011

October 11th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 17 Comments

So far 2011 has not been a good year for the Australian stock market despite the ASX All Ordinaries  & S&P/ASX 200 flirting with the 5000 points level earlier in the year.  Over recent months the market has fallen back into bear market territory so a review at this stage of some 52 week stock price highs & low may give us an insight into how the market is tracking.

The ASX All Ordinaries and the Commodities Bubble.

October 5th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 8 Comments

Prices for hard commodities such as copper, iron ore & coal have risen strongly over the past decade and are now trading well above their long term historical averages.  This in turn drove the ASX All Ordinaries Index to a bull market high in 2007 and has helped put some support under the market ever since.  But is it realistic to expect high commodities prices will keep propping up the Australian stock market?

Precious Metals Charts Point to Lower Prices.

September 29th, 2011 · Chris Vermeulen · 6 Comments

Over the past week precious metal investors have had a wakeup call from their big shiny nest eggs. Last week’s free fall in both gold and silver spot prices was enough to get investors into a panic. More on this in a minute though…

A bear market, the G-20 circus & another report.

September 28th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 38 Comments

This week the Australian stock market slid into what I would call a bear market although some would argue that it has avoided such fate by a whisker. The reality is however that the ASX All Ordinaries did close below 4000 recently and that represents a drop of just over 20% from levels seen in April. If it looks and feels like a bear market, then for me it is a bear market.

Review of S&P/ASX 200 Sector Indices: XNJ, XDJ, XMJ, XPJ & XJO.

September 21st, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 13 Comments

In the midst of all this market madness it might be useful for investors to sit back and look at what various sectors of the Australian stock market have being doing over the last ten years to see if we can spot any emerging trends.  We all know for example that the resources sector has been generally kind to investors over the last few years but will it continue to be a strong performer in the years ahead?

The stampede towards global economic pessimism

September 13th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 28 Comments

A sure sign that an economic trend has been established is when the OECD finally jumps on the trend bandwagon and recently the OECD has joined the group of recently converted economic pessimists. Gone are the days when big borrowing, big spending governments would save the day – the theme of the day now is hang onto your hats because we might be in for a bumpy ride.

Time for a new Australian stock market investment strategy?

September 5th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 12 Comments

Often finance writers comment that the investment world has changed since the Global Financial Crisis sent stock markets around the world tumbling in 2008 and 2009.  Maybe that is true or maybe it’s just that investors stopped paying attention to the risks and focused too much on the possible profits? In any case, it’s time to think about what might happen in the next 5 years or so and contemplate making some changes to my Australian stock market investment strategy.

A decade in review: the ASX All Ords, BHP, HVN, RIO, WOW & more.

August 29th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 8 Comments

Often it is useful to step away from looking at the daily movements of the stock market and review what has happened over the last decade.  This won’t exactly tell investors which stocks will do well during the next 10 years, but it does show which trends have moved the market to where it is now.

It’s the stupid Australian economy, stupid.

August 24th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 19 Comments

Over the last few months media commentary regarding the Australian economy has turned decidedly gloomy. The wonders of the mining boom are now being questioned,  the U.S. and European economies matter again and people are starting to wake up to the reality that an economic strategy that basically relies on China dragging Australia along for the ride might not be that clever.

Are Gold & U.S. Stocks About To Move in Opposite Directions?

August 18th, 2011 · Chris Vermeulen · 16 Comments

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at the volume on the GLD gold ETF fund. With gold being in the spot light for several years now and the fact that anyone can own gold simply through buying some GLD shares. It only makes sense that reading the volume on this chart gives us a good feel for what the masses are feeling emotionally.

The stock market rout has paused, but will it return?

August 14th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 23 Comments

This week was quite a ride for stock market investors with the ASX All Ords and ASX 200 both trading at one stage under 4000 points.  However as the week progressed the markets started to claw their way back up and things are not quite as worrying as they were a few days ago.  What investors will be trying to work out now is if the stock market rout is over, or is it just having a rest before it once again sends stocks falling?

A stock market rout, investor fear & the global economy

August 5th, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 69 Comments

As I write today the Australian stock market has slumped around -4% so far after the Dow Jones fell -4.3% and markets in Europe also ended sharply lower. As per usual, many finance journalists are hurriedly pumping out scary stories and dramatic headlines to gain readers attention so it’s time to grab a cup of coffee, relax and focus on the facts.

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