Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Has the economic boom in Australia been managed into a bust?

March 12th, 2012 · Greg Atkinson · 23 Comments

According to many experts, Australia is in the midst of a mining boom and the government often tells us that the Australian economy is performing better than most if not all, of the world’s major developed economies.  Certainly the commodities boom has delivered record profits for many companies,  generated massive tax revenues for the federal and state governments plus created many thousands of jobs.

Stock Charts Review: ASX All Ords, CBA, PPT, AGK, GMI & GOLD.

March 4th, 2012 · Greg Atkinson · 2 Comments

So far this year the Australian stock market had managed to edge slowly upwards and the All Ordinaries Index appears poised to settle above 4400 during the next week or so. Although the risks of a major Eurozone economic implosion appear to be fading, the signs are that the economy in China continues to slow and it appears the U.S. economy is still struggling. The situation in China in particular is likely to have a major impact on where the Australian stock market heads next over the following few months.

The Long-Term Fundamental Case for Gold.

February 27th, 2012 · Chris Vermeulen · 12 Comments

A quick glance at most of the headlines over the weekend and the primary focus seemed to be either calling a near term top in domestic equity indices or a focus on the Greek debt situation. Why is anyone even paying attention to what is going on over there? Until the ISDA declares a default where the underlying Credit Default Swaps (CDS) are triggered, it is all just noise.

Europe’s potion is now its poison with China inheriting the benefits.

February 17th, 2012 · Gregory Clark · 16 Comments

Today’s lecture is on the sorry state of that dismal science called economics. Hands up, economists who foresaw the Lehman collapse in the United States. OK, I see a few hands out there. Now hands up, those who also foresaw the eurozone crisis? Not so many, it seems.

Charts Review: S&P/ASX 200, JB Hi-Fi, ASX All Ords & QBE.

February 15th, 2012 · Greg Atkinson · 3 Comments

It may appear to some investors that the Australian stock market has started 2012 in the same volatile manner as we have become use to over the last few years, however trading so far this year has been fairly calm.  An optimist might believe that this is an indication that the markets are finally settling down though I fear we are simply enjoying a period of calm before we enter a stormy phase again.

U.S. Markets: Is Gold Signaling a Top in the S&P 500?

February 7th, 2012 · Chris Vermeulen · 6 Comments

Friday morning traders and market participants awaited the key January employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The reaction to the supposedly wonderful report was a surge in the S&P 500 E-Mini futures contracts as well as several other key equity index futures.

Where is the Australian Economy heading in 2012?

February 3rd, 2012 · Greg Atkinson · 19 Comments

It wasn’t that long ago when ex-Treasury Head Ken Henry talked about the Australian economy being in a ‘Golden Age’. I guess when you can retire on a lucrative public service pension and then parachute into a highly paid job as an advisor to the Prime Minister the future does probably seem bright. But now in early 2012 as unemployment appears set to rise and the economy is showing signs of weakness, Ken Henry’s ‘Golden Age’ comment might end up in the same category as Tim Flannery’s ‘Dams will no longer fill’ prediction.

Are Australian stocks set to ride another bull market?

January 27th, 2012 · Greg Atkinson · 23 Comments

Recently the markets appear to have settled somewhat and the Australian stock market has steadily been heading higher so far in 2012. Could we be seeing the early signs of another bull market taking hold or are we about to see another sharp correction take the ASX All Ordinaries back down towards 4000 and perhaps lower?

Gold Price Trend Forecast for 1st Quarter of 2012

January 18th, 2012 · Chris Vermeulen · 5 Comments

Over the past five months gold has fallen sharply and is no longer headline news which it once dominated back in 2011 when it was making new highs every day. The shiny metal has been under pressure because traders and investors started to pull some money off the table to lock in gains.

Stock market & investment trends for 2012 and beyond.

January 16th, 2012 · Greg Atkinson · 7 Comments

At the start of last year I did not update my Australian stock market trends simply because I thought the market was basically going nowhere. This year however I feel it is worth looking at some interesting sectors again in an attempt to pick out some areas where investors might be able to find bargains and position themselves for the next bull market.

North Korea’s Khrushchev.

January 11th, 2012 · Gregory Clark · 1 Comment

Scenes of Pyongyang citizens wailing the death of “Dear Leader” Kim Jong Il remind us how easily dictatorships can manipulate public opinion. But are the rest of us so immune to similar manipulation?

Australian stock market outlook & forecast for 2012

January 8th, 2012 · Greg Atkinson · 60 Comments

The ASX All Ordinaries Index and S&P/ASX 200 Index finished much lower than I expected in 2011, so this makes me somewhat reluctant to go on record and make an Australian stock market forecast for 2012. However the process of looking at the various economic data and trying to guess where the market will end is a useful one, so foolishly I will outline once again my Australian stock market forecast for the year ahead.

Australian stock market charts review: market close 2011

December 31st, 2011 · Greg Atkinson · 12 Comments

The Australian stock market has finished trading for the year with the ASX All Ordinaries & S&P & ASX 200 both closing around 15% lower for 2011. It has been a disappointing year for share market investors (yet again) with even the mining stocks stumbling lower over the last 12 months. Many investors might be under the impression that the market slid back over the last few months of 2011, however the Australian stock market has been trending down since as far back as April.

Are Gold and Silver on the Verge of a Big Move?

December 22nd, 2011 · Chris Vermeulen · 21 Comments

The past few months have been tough for those holding precious metals stocks, PM futures contracts or physical bullion. With silver is trading down 41%, precious metals stocks down 30% and gold 15%. It has people scratching their head. The question everyone keeps asking is when can I buy gold and silver?

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