Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Is deflation really such a bad thing?

June 27th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 10 Comments

Now that the world seems to have avoided falling into an economic heap, various pundits have switched their attention to life after the global financial crisis. Of course if you spend most of your life saying the world economy is doomed then there has to be a crisis after this current crisis and one scenario being talked about is where many developed nations will enter a period of deflation.

The Random Portfolio: June 2009

June 26th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 1 Comment

Since April the Random Portfolio has continued to slowly rise in value but has yet to remain in the black for an extended period of time. However there are a number of stocks in the portfolio which have performed extremely well and these prove that even in the worst of bear markets,  money can still be made from investing in stocks.

Farewell FY08/09 and stock market outlook for FY09/10.

June 22nd, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 2 Comments

Well another financial year is drawing to a close and for most stock market investors the last 12 months have not been very kind. But it is now time to contemplate how the next financial year may unfold and think about any opportunities or threats we may face as investors.

A technical look at the ASX All Ordinaries Index (June 09)

June 19th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 6 Comments

Although I do not trade stocks based on technical analysis I do often look at stock market technical charts to simply see if they might be indicating a trend. Of course there is no guarantee any trend shown in these charts will continue, but a quick look at some candlesticks charts of the All Ordinaries Index does reveal a few interesting patterns.

Stockwatch: Melbourne IT (MLB)

June 16th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 28 Comments

Established back in 1996, Melbourne IT (ASX:MLB) has grown from a company focused on registering Australian domain names to being listed on the ASX in 1999 and is now a provider of a range of web based services. From 2003 the company expanded rapidly via a number of strategic acquisitions and now must not only deal with the  global economic downturn, but also face intense competition in a number of it’s key product areas.

Wasteful spending, poor planning and extreme socialism.

June 14th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 46 Comments

For some time I have been saying that the Government’s economic stimulus spending spree will be wasteful, poorly directed and do little to make Australia a more competitive economy.  If this is not bad enough the chances are the reckless spending by the Rudd Government may also stir inflation again and cause more problems for the Australian economy than the global financial crisis ever did.

Are we facing a peak demand scenario for Australian coal and iron ore?

June 10th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 32 Comments

Almost everyday we hear about how commodities exports have helped protect Australia (so far) from the worst of the global economic crisis. However although Australian exports have held up well prices and volumes have still fallen for many mining products but almost nobody seems to be asking the question, what will happen if demand and prices for some key Australian commodities never returns to the levels reached in 2008?

Australian home prices, spending trends and statistics.

June 8th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 15 Comments

The debate about where Australian home prices are heading appears to be getting more intense these days. Commentators who have been predicting home prices will crash have seized on falls seen so far as proof they are right, whereas those who believe prices will not crash pounce on the same data and says it supports their view. Confusing isn’t it?

Global market news – what is it telling us?

June 7th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 1 Comment

Depending on your point of view the world’s stock markets are either having a temporary rally before they continue their downward slide or we are witnessing the start of a slow global economic recovery. But rather than make any assumptions or speculate on the future let’s look at what the news from markets around the world might be telling us.

The Catch-22 recession: send in the clowns!

June 4th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 11 Comments

Well Australia has avoided a “technical recession” for now so I guess this means that if you have lost your job or your business is struggling then technically you are actually doing fine. But if we are not in a recession, why are company profits taking a beating, unemployment rising and the stock market still so low?

Can the stock market rally continue?

June 2nd, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 5 Comments

After enduring over a year of falling stock prices we are finally seeing some tentative signs that the stock market is coming back to life. The lows of March 2009 now seem almost a distant memory and as the world’s markets continue to rally more bullish commentators come out of the closet and a few bearish ones crawl into one. But does the current stock market rally have legs?

Stockwatch: BHP Billition Limited (BHP)

May 31st, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 6 Comments

BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) is one of the most widely held stocks in Australia and is often a core holding in many stock portfolios. Over the last few years the stock have reflected the fortunes of the commodities boom and as a result the BHP stock price saw a peak last year of over $45 only to come tumbling down to less than $25 a few months later. But maybe at current prices BHP is once again a stock worth looking at?

A large population is not always the road to economic success

May 29th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 8 Comments

Many economists appear to believe that if  a nation’s population is growing then this is  good for the  economy as well, especially in developed countries. But in a world where resources will need to be shared amongst a growing number of affluent consumers I believe the opposite is often true.

The All Ordinaries, the Baltic Dry Index and other charts to watch.

May 27th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 6 Comments

Sometimes when confronted by a seemingly endless barrage of economic data it is beneficial to just grab a cup of coffee and calmly review a few stock market related charts to see if they are trying to tell us something. Yes it is pretty chaotic in the global economy these days but believe it or not, some order appears to be creeping back into the Australian stock market.

The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?

May 22nd, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 6 Comments

For many months now debate has raged in the mainstream media, online forums and blogs about what the long term impact of the global financial crisis will be.  Some people appear to believe we are entering an economic version of The Dark Ages whereas other more optimistic types view the current period as an ideal time snap up cheap assets and prepare for the next economic boom. Like many debates, the truth probably lies somewhere between these two views.

Rudd Economics 101: When in doubt spend like crazy.

May 20th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 34 Comments

It appears that finally the Australian media and by default the wider public are starting to worry about Rudd’s mountain of debt. At first many Australian’s were quite happy to pocket their Government handouts in some crazed belief that is was magic money that would not have to be repaid some day or at least, not by them. But perhaps the latest Federal Budget has finally got people thinking as opposed to living happily in ignorance in the Matrix.

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