Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Rudd’s new direction: Bad news for investors.

February 1st, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 5 Comments

Kevin Rudd was elected largely because he conveyed an image to the Australian public of a man who would keep Australia on a steady course. His 2007 election campaign was all about convincing the public that he would follow most of the policies put in place during the Howard years but govern in a “nicer” way that would keep the trendy “cafe latte” types happy. However as the current economic crisis drags on, I sense that Kevin 09 might not be anything like the “lovable” Kevin 07.

Investing in gold: a basic guide for investors.

January 30th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 12 Comments

Few precious metals stir the emotions of investors quite as much as gold. But just as it stirs emotions, it also causes many people to forget about the basics of investing and plunge into gold seeking their fortune, only to suffer losses and heartache. Currently there is a lot of focus on gold as it is seen as a good asset to hold in times of trouble, so now seems like a good time to have a look at what drives gold prices and other gold market fundamentals.

Outlook for the Japanese economy in 2009.

January 28th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · No Comments

There is no doubt that the Japanese economy is suffering as a result of the global economic crisis. However much of the reporting in the western media is at best poor journalism and at worst, simply wrong.  So rather than focus on sensational attention grabbing headlines, let’s look at some forecasts and facts.

Australia 2020 Summit: Fiddling while Rome burns.

January 24th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 6 Comments

Does anyone remember Rudd’s great talk fest in April 2008 grandly called the Australia 2020 Summit? Did anyone get excited about the contents of the final report, complete with lovely graphics and pictures? Was there some careful analysis and discussion of the ideas raised during the Summit in the mainstream media?

The inflation genie and the deflation goblin.

January 21st, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 4 Comments

Well it seems the inflation genie is back in the bottle and that the bottle is back in the cupboard. Therefore our wise leaders in Canberra have in less than 12 months gone from fighting inflation, to trying to stimulate growth and save the Australian economy from recession. Of course none of the economic problems Australia faces today have anything to do with government blunders, it is all China’s fault.

Stockwatch: Listed Investment Companies

January 19th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 4 Comments

As many investors would already know, Listed Investment Companies (LIC’s) can be a relatively straight forward way to diversify a shares or investment portfolio. There are many different types of LIC’s trading on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and these can give an investors exposure to a diversified range of assets.

A new year, more government blunders and a sleeping RBA.

January 15th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 3 Comments

Well another year has begun and I am starting to wish it was 2008 again. If 2008 was the year in which stock market investors were humbled, then 2009 is starting to look like the year in which we will be humiliated. We are now half way through January and many people will tell you that if the market ends down in January it will also be down at the end of the year. So far things are not looking good.

Is the golden era for the Australian stock market over?

January 10th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 3 Comments

One question that investors need to consider amongst all this market turmoil is; has the dream run of the Australian stock market come to end? Perhaps for example the days of the Australian market (ASX) outperforming the Dow Jones Index are over and we need to be prepared for less glamorous returns? We might even have to put aside our patriotic feelings and look offshore for better returns in the future?

Shareswatch Blog: hits and misses of 2008.

January 6th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 3 Comments

There is something you should have noticed by now about most of the finance and stock market related news websites and that is; they are great at picking the best and worst investment events of the past, but they say very little about how accurate their analysis of events were throughout the year.

Stockwatch: QBE Insurance Group Limited (QBE)

January 3rd, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 7 Comments

QBE Insurance Group (ASX.QBE) is an Australian general insurer that over the long term, has been good to investors. However the stock price has not been immune from the recent stock market rout and the share price was clipped from a 52 week high of over $33 in late 2007 to under $20 in March 2008.

Japan, China and the Australian Economy.

December 28th, 2008 · Greg Atkinson · 17 Comments

One of the many misjudgements made by the Rudd Government in managing the Australian economy this year has been their almost fanatical belief that Australia would be shielded from the worst of the global financial crisis because of our trade with China. For the first part of this year in addition to the “War on Inflation”, Rudd and Swan were also pushing the line that our significant exports to China would keep the Australian economy ticking over nicely despite the problems brewing in the economies of the United States and the Eurozone.

Christmas 2008 and the stock market.

December 24th, 2008 · Greg Atkinson · 3 Comments

Well it is Christmas Eve and amazingly the ASX All Ordinaries has defied Wall Street and closed higher.  Although I am of course pleased, I know that unless there is a mother of all stock market rallies that 2008 is going to be a shocker for shares. It seems a great result for this year would for the All Ords to climb back to around 4000, although this would still be well below where I thought the bottom of the market would be. (i.e around 4800) It is dangerous business trying to pick the bottom of the market and I certainly made a mess of my attempt to do so!

Australian stock market outlook for 2009.

December 20th, 2008 · Greg Atkinson · 2 Comments

Like most stock market investors I will end the year well and truly bruised.  Although I wrote earlier in the year that 2008 would not be a good for Australian shares, I have to admit I did not think it was going to be this bad. Therefore I am hesitant to make any comments regarding the Australian stock market in 2009 as I am sure to find little turns out as I expect.  However just as Nigel Tufnel was able to rise above substandard catering on the Spinal Tap Tour, I am going to rise above the current carnage and outline what I think will happen as next year unfolds.

Actions to stimulate the economy in 2009 and beyond.

December 16th, 2008 · Greg Atkinson · 7 Comments

It seems that almost everyday we hear about another government plan aimed to stimulate the economy. Finally it seems the government has stopped blaming the previous government for inflation (and a large budget surplus) and is now blaming the world for the slow down in the Australian economy.

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