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The Australian home prices debate Part 2: Why prices may not collapse.

March 21st, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 171 Comments

In Part 1 of the Australian home prices debate I looked at some of the factors that could drive home prices down in Australia. Now in Part 2, I shall outline the other side of the debate and consider the arguments that support the view that the Australian residential property market will generally withstand the fallout from the global financial crisis and not follow prices down in a similar way to the U.S. and U.K.

The Australian home prices debate Part 1: Why prices may fall.

March 19th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 339 Comments

One of the most discussed economic topics at the moment in Australia is regarding whether real estate prices are about to plunge across the nation or if Australian residential property will generally be spared from the savage price falls seen in the U.S. and the U.K.  Rather than take sides in this debate, I will merely outline some of the arguments being tossed around in newspapers, online forums and blogs etc. and see how well they hold up to scrutiny.

The recession, economic stimulus and the stock market.

March 15th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 53 Comments

Often economists, journalists and politicians use so much jargon when talking about the current economic situation that is is hard to follow what they are actually trying to say. Economists for example cannot seem to agree on anything except that they are legends in their own minds, journalists try and fumble through economic discussions and politicians simply try and convince us they know what they are talking about. The simple fact is much of the time all three groups talk utter rubbish.

Dealing with a battered stocks portfolio in a bear market.

March 12th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 2 Comments

Most investors in the stock market are today looking at some nasty losses in their portfolios. Some investors may have already sold shares and incurred losses while others may be nursing stocks that have lost 50% or more of their value since late 2007 and hoping they will recover some value. The question that confronts all of us now is: what do I do from this point onwards?

Gordon Gekko made a lot of fictional sense.

March 9th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 4 Comments

First let’s be clear, Gordon Gekko is a fictional character from the 1987 movie Wall Street. I state this upfront because you would swear that he really existed by the way some journalists seem to write about him these days and use him as a example of what they feel is wrong with the free market economy. But the Gordon Gekko character also put the spotlight on poor corporate management and ineffective boards and judging by recent events, it seems little has changed in 20 years.

The Recession and Rudd’s Plan 9 from Outer Space.

March 4th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 9 Comments

Can the discussion surrounding the Australian economy get any more bizarre? Will economists continue to make vague observations? Will our politicians spend most of 2009 making nonsensical statements aimed to please the plebs? If you answered yes to all three questions then you are well prepared for the year ahead.

Economic Lessons from Japan.

March 3rd, 2009 · Gregory Clark · No Comments

Searching the reasons for Japan’s ‘lost decade’ – the deflation and stunted growth said to have plagued Japan ever since the collapse of the Bubble economy in the early nineties – has long been popular among US and UK commentators seeking an answer to the West’s current economic problems. The interest is welcome. But some of the results are bizarre. Almost all the main US media, the conservative Wall Street Journal in particular, have run articles saying the blame lies with Japan’s post-Bubble, Keynesian-style infrastructure spending.

Telstra, Sol and the dog and pony show.

February 27th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 2 Comments

It is no surprise that Sol Trujillo is leaving Telstra after years of under achievement and I suspect few people in Telstra will be sorry to see him go. Shareholders, consumers and the Government can only hope that the next CEO will be a little more interested in the future of Australian telecommunications and less about his or her pay packet.

Dealing with a recession: The Japanese way.

February 25th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 2 Comments

If you have read mainstream media reports about the Japanese economy lately then it is likely you have been bombarded with articles about the plight of temporary workers and the plunge in profits at companies like Toyota. This has probably conveyed an image to you that Japan Inc. is on the verge of collapse, however nothing could be further from the truth because even in the midst of this global crisis, Japanese companies are looking towards the future and making sure they are ready to bounce back with the global economy improves.

Blaming the bankers only hides the truth.

February 23rd, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · No Comments

Those evil bankers, how could they do this to us? Because of their greed they have destroyed the global economy, caused global warming and killed Elvis. Their extreme capitalistic neo-liberal Reaganomics ways have doomed us all, while we the general public were going about our daily lives helping the poor, spending wisely and spreading goodwill throughout the world.

Has the stock market finally bottomed?

February 19th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 6 Comments

So far in 2009 the Australian stock market has basically moved sideways with little movement that would suggest that the 4000 level will soon be breached. However this might actually be a positive sign and could signal that finally a bottom in the stock market is forming.

The national broadband debacle: all hail to Senator Conroy.

February 17th, 2009 · Greg Atkinson · 23 Comments

Lost within the turmoil of the $42 billion federal government spend-a-thon and the so called “national economic crisis” has been the issue of the infamous “National Broadband Network”. After ridiculing the Howard government for taking too long to initiate work on this network, all Senator Conroy has managed to do is set things back a few years and we are still effectively nowhere near seeing work start on on this important national infrastructure project.

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