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Some nice retracement on that break through 6000 this last week. Few profits taken there. Just to wait and see if it gets back on up again. Putting the price stuff aside I tend to think that fundamentals are be pushing towards a correction. It just depends how bubbly the various debt bubbles can stay. It seems fair enough that if everyone keeps playing that game then you might get a half baked sort of bull market such as we've had. Keeping mind that the price of consumables is rising at the same time. No free lunches. [...]
Sat, Nov 18, 2017
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Collett follows up on your ten-year sentiment, here: http://www.watoday.com.au/money/investing/dont-expect-the-asx-to-recover-its-alltime-high-soon-20171110-gzit5e.html [...]
Wed, Nov 15, 2017
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Yes, I also thought it might crash thru' that barrier, Lachlan. Still surprised it's so close to 6000. Called that one wrong! [...]
Mon, Nov 06, 2017
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And look at the asx go. I can predict breaking 6000 this week, so it can crash. Well price analyses like that works on the assumption of a trend holding…and of course they may not. The bullish stair stepping trend is well established since about a week after this article was written. However, trends change. [...]
Sun, Nov 05, 2017
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Yeah so I cant sell them at 3-4X in other words because on net its not a profit at all. Once the losses on others are accounted for. I'm looking at losses or nothing on most and a large gain on a couple…something like that, to have a win. So if I tell one of my tiny caps went up 4X…its more about why and where it might go from there. However it still doesn't mean I'm in any sort of money overall. Loving my new house. I've lived in old farmhouses for so long (to save money) I sort of [...]
Sat, Oct 28, 2017
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I'm up double on CDT biker but I only have small change in plays like those anyhow. Its just that they went up suddenly from about a cent to 4.5 or so recently. I'm just waiting for those sorts of things to go up 10,20,30X to bother even selling them. I have taken some profits off larger plays like SAR but the littlies I just can't bring myself to sell. Some have gone up 3-4 X and I just watched them go back down again. Hoping CDT might be the first to go up big-time for me. That's another problem [...]
Sat, Oct 28, 2017
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Yes, Argosy (which I failed to act on) quickly rose from 14c to 31c (currently 24c), Lachlan. You did well on CDT… . I guess you must have bought in at 1c! Meanwhile lithium looks promising, here: http://www.watoday.com.au/business/mining-and-resources/ground-zero-for-lithium-electric-cars-spark-a-new-boom-for-australian-miners-20171025-gz8dgy.html [...]
Thu, Oct 26, 2017
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Shaun the XJO usually surprises me near the end of the year so you might be right. I feel a significant correction is overdue but the Trump tax plan may keep the rally in the US markets going and drag our market along for the ride. [...]
Tue, Oct 24, 2017
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More than the odd caveat needed there Biker. Well the asx broke against its bear flag for now. In any event my small caps are doing something. Lucky for me I own Castle Minerals. Barely watch these micro gambles but a 4-5X jump! …i might have to research it tonight. Argonaut looking nice too Biker. [...]
Tue, Oct 24, 2017
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Interesting claim: “The International Monetary Fund found that one percentage point of gross domestic product (GDP) invested in infrastructure leads to 1.5 per cent GDP growth within four years.” [...]
Mon, Oct 23, 2017
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XJO looks well placed to finish at 6000 or higher by end of this year. It took a while, but now it looks like the XJO is doing a bit of catch up with the rest of the world! [...]
Thu, Oct 19, 2017
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2017 update: Toyota will shut down its Altona factory on Tuesday, putting more than 2700 workers out of a job. (The Australian. 28th September) The car manufacturing industry in Australia will basically be extinct by the end of the year. [...]
Thu, Sep 28, 2017
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That could be one reason plus most funds/ETF's don't touch them. [...]
Wed, Sep 27, 2017
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Maybe they are too time consuming for many people too. [...]
Tue, Sep 26, 2017
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Not happening in our town yet Biker however we are farming/mining here (sub-coastal) and just a wee bit too far from Brisbane. On the coast from here and north a bit, say Fraser Coast I have little doubt such effects will continue to support higher prices however I am not an expert on those places or their history. I began looking at house prices whilst kayaking with the kids on Sunday just south of that zone. Lots to think about. [...]
Tue, Sep 26, 2017
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OK, found it: https://www.propertyvalue.com.au/news/most-popular-council-areas-for-retirees/31?utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=PV07SEPT17 I'd actually forgotten that this sales data applied to _all_ states, not just WA. We expected the downsizing phenomenon, of course, but had always reasoned that metro-folk would sell their 1.2 mil city homes to buy 650K city homes … as friends did; or that sea-changers and tree-changers would leave their city existence and move to highly-desirable upmarket coastal towns. To some extent, that happened*… but now that prices have risen in those towns, retirees appear to be flooding into previously neglected, historically low-growth regions. * Studying census data recently, I was astonished to learn that the over-65 [...]
Sun, Sep 24, 2017
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We're watching with some surprise, as retiring down-sizers move to small WA towns… and prices rise steadily, Lachlan. Are you seeing that trend emerge? If they're “…nice little brick houses … for a song…” it may not have happened yet… I must find the link which described that growth. Shouldn't be too difficult, as I sent it to my sons recently… . Sounds like your business is doing really well, Lachlan. 🙂 [...]
Sun, Sep 24, 2017
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Yes the Small Ords really got hit hard & apart from a bounce off the GFC bottom they have not done much since. I use to invest in Small Caps but got burnt several times very badly. Now I reckon it's just normally not worth the risk. [...]
Sat, Sep 23, 2017
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