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Entries Tagged as 'charts'

Commonwealth Bank and Rio Tinto – a shorter term trading strategy

May 10th, 2013 · 5 Comments

At the moment there is so much confusion across the global markets that is makes me less reluctant to take long term positions. One day we see Chinese trade data which appears good, but there are questions about its reliability. Over in the U.S the economy appears to be improving, but what will happen when the Fed starts to wind back quantitative easing measures? Meanwhile in Japan, Abenomics is shaking up the markets and there is considerable pressure on leaders across the EU to ease up on austerity measures.

ASX Charts Review: S&P/ASX 200, All Ords Index, CBA, GOLD & TLS

April 8th, 2013 · 33 Comments

The Australian stock market appears poised to head lower this week and there are signs that the rally which started in the middle of 2012, is turning into a decent sized correction. Over the next week or so the key areas to watch will be the mining stocks, banking stocks and gold prices. But already if we look at some charts in these areas we can see a trend developing.

What could be the next move for the ASX All Ordinaries Index?

March 27th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Since mid last year, the Australian stock market has staged a fairly impressive rally with the ASX All Ordinaries Index moving from a decidedly bearish level of down near 4000 to a bull market level of just under 5200 points. But of late the market has slipped back which will worry some investors, while others see this a simply a pause before the rally upwards continues.

The Australian economy: Are the charts half full or half empty?

March 15th, 2013 · 23 Comments

According to data released the other day, the Australian economy created around 70,000 positions recently which apparently is very good according to most economists. This is despite the fact that most of the jobs were part-time roles and I saw no breakdown regarding what type of jobs were created. That doesn’t seem to matter, once the media and assorted experts say it’s time to cheer then we are suppose to cheer.

Gold and Silver Prices nearing Long Term Support

February 22nd, 2013 · 23 Comments

Gold and silver along with their related miners have been under a lot of selling pressure the last few months. Prices have fallen far enough to make most traders and investors start to panic and close out their long term positions which is a bullish signal in my opinion. My trading tactic for both swing trading and day trading thrive on entering and exiting positions when panic trading hits an investment. General rule of thumb is to buy when others are extremely fearful and cannot hold on to a losing position any longer. When they are selling I am usually slowly accumulating a long position.

The ASX All Ordinaries March Towards 5000 – Been There, Done That

February 12th, 2013 · 11 Comments

Recently every move upwards the stock market takes, no matter how slight, is greeted with almost ecstatic cries of joy from many analysts, finance journalists and assorted market watchers. It’s as if the ASX All Ordinaries was heading towards a new high and investors were being showered with money in the midst of a raging bull market that had no limits. Certainly there have been good returns of late for those investors who timed their entry into market almost perfectly, but for longer term investors it’s more of case of here we go again.

BHP Billiton, Commonwealth Bank, & Telstra 2012 Charts Review

January 15th, 2013 · 2 Comments

Today I am going to review the 1 year performance of three ASX listed blue-chip stocks namely: the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA)  BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) and Telstra Corporation (ASX:TLS) to get a feel for how these large companies within the S&P/ASX 200 Index fared during 2012.  Does the performance of these stocks give us any indication of how the wider stock market may fare in 2013 and if so, are these stocks worth watching over the next 12 months?

ASX All Ordinaries Index 2012 charts review.

January 2nd, 2013 · 3 Comments

In 2012 the Australian stock market finished the year higher with the ASX All Ordinaries Index posting a gain of around 12% to close at 4663.30 points.  Unsurprisingly much of the financial media excitedly churned out headlines suggesting stocks were soaring and many commentators focused on the annual rally being the best since 2009.  However if we look past the nonsensical rambling of much of the mainstream media the reality is  that All Ords has in reality simply moved back up to a level below where it finished at the end of 2009 and is still way below the pre-GFC market high.

U.S. Market Forecast – Tis The Season To Drink & Own Coffee

December 30th, 2012 · No Comments

Coffee prices have fallen more than 50% since 2010 which can be seen through the coffee exchange traded fund symbol: JO. This investment seeks to replicate the returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in coffee futures contracts as well as the rate of interest that could be earned on cash collateral invested in specified Treasury Bills.

Will the S&P/ASX 200 continue to rally in 2012?

December 17th, 2012 · 16 Comments

As we approach the end of the year, the annual topic of a “Santa  Rally” rears its head and although I don’t believe Santa can rally stocks, I do wonder if the current upwards trend of the Australian stock market can be sustained for much longer. Will the S&P/ASX 200 finish 2012 on a high, or will slide back and finish well below 4500.

Stockwatch: Suncorp Group Limited (SUN)

December 7th, 2012 · 1 Comment

To pick a stock to write about this time I decided to set some high level criteria, do a search and then see what stock caught my eye. What I searched for was a stock with a market cap of over $100 million, a P/B ratio of less than 1 and a P/E ratio of less than 16. The stock that came out on the top of the list was Suncorp Group Limited.

Why the S&P 500 & Gold Rallied in the Face of Negative News

November 26th, 2012 · 1 Comment

The amount of negative news that we have seen recently has been mind-blowing. Europe is going into recession, Greece and several other countries are on the verge of bankruptcy, the Middle East is a powder-keg, and the U.S. is facing a fiscal cliff. Shockingly for most retail traders, the past week has produced a very strong return for U.S. equity indexes as well as risk assets in general.

Australian Economic and Market Indicators – November 2012

November 12th, 2012 · 24 Comments

Finally it seems the Reserve Bank of Australia and Treasury have had to accept that the mining boom has peaked or is peaking, which is something I have been talking about on this site for some years.  However the RBA, Treasury and Gillard Government all still appear to be relatively upbeat about the outlook for the Australian economy next year which is surprising,  since I don’t see a lot to be optimistic about as I review the stock market, housing market or a few other economic indicators.

Stock Charts Review: AGK, CWP, DMP & SKE

November 6th, 2012 · No Comments

I will quickly review four very different ASX listed stocks to see if we can draw any conclusions from how their shares prices have been moving.  The stocks I will look at are AGL Energy, Cedar Woods Properties, Domino’s Pizza and Skilled Group.

WTI Crude Oil & Oil Stocks Seasonality & Year-End Outlook

October 31st, 2012 · 9 Comments

Crude oil has had some large price swings this year and another one may be on its way. This report shows the seasonality of crude oil along with where oil is trading and what the oil service stocks are telling us is likely to happen going into year end.

ASX All Ordinaries Index – review of 5, 10 and 25 year charts

October 17th, 2012 · 1 Comment

The Australian stock market closed up again today with the ASX All Ordinaries Index finishing at 4550.90 points – a rise of 0.82% for the day.  The last couple of months have been generally kind to Australian stocks but we need to keep this recent stock market movement in perspective.

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