Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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For the record: August 2009

August 27th, 2009 · No Comments

The last few months have been more kind to Australian stock market investors however I have mainly been on the hunt for stock bargains rather than in selling mode. Therefore since May this year my focus has been on trying to buy some small parcels of shares in companies that I feel will do well over the next few years rather than profit taking.

A technical look at the S&P/ASX 200 Index (August 09)

August 25th, 2009 · No Comments

After yesterdays surge on the Australian stock market now is a good time to take in the big picture view and see what the charts may be telling us. It seems clear that the market is trending upwards but for how long will this rally last and can we learn anything from looking back at the S&P/ASX 200 over the last few years?

A global economic recovery does not mean business as usual.

August 24th, 2009 · 16 Comments

After the strong stock market rally today I think we can safely say the bear market of 2008-2009 is now well and truly over. The ASX All Ordinaries & ASX 200 are still clearly trending upwards and commentators who were predicting a Global Depression just a few months ago have started adjusting their forecasts.

Will Glenn Stevens and the RBA ever admit they make mistakes?

August 18th, 2009 · 8 Comments

Recently Glenn Stevens of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) appears to be taking credit for everything from the robust nature of the Australian economy to the mining boom. What he seems to have forgotten or is not willing to admit, is that the RBA has made a number of  forecasts over the last couple of years that have been very wrong and probably raised interest rates too high in 2008.

The Random Portfolio: August 2009

August 17th, 2009 · 19 Comments

Back in June the Shareswatch Random Portfolio was down by just over 4% but as I wrote in the update for that month, I felt confident it would be in positive territory within 2009. Thanks to the sustained rally this financial year the portfolio is now well into positive territory and I doubt it will be in the red again for many years, if ever.

Government debt, inflation and interest rates.

August 5th, 2009 · 15 Comments

The tentative signs of a global recovery (albeit a weak one) are becoming stronger each day and people who predicted a global depression have faded from view.  So the Australian economy is poised for growth again and everything is back on track right? Well not quite.

Stockwatch: ASX Limited (ASX)

August 2nd, 2009 · 2 Comments

Now that the worst of the stock market rout appears behind us perhaps it is a good time to think about investing in a stock that should rise along with any bull market rally. ASX Limited is one stock that may allow investors to do just that, while at the same time providing income via franked dividends.

Stock market investment traps, tricks and myths.

July 27th, 2009 · 2 Comments

The one sure thing about a bear market is that it provides fertile ground for the rise of investment myths and for people talking up certain assets classes by feeding on the fear of investors. But before you leap into some new investment it is probably a good idea to be aware of some of the common shares related investment traps, tricks and myths that exist.

A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: July 2009

July 20th, 2009 · No Comments

The Australian stock market has recovered from what appears to have been the bottom of the bear market back in March, so now seems a good time to look at some stock prices and see if they are creeping up to their 52 week highs or still near their lows.

Are Australian stocks poised to rally again?

July 13th, 2009 · No Comments

Since the beginning of May the Australian stock market has basically moved sideways and at present there is no clear trend in place.  Eventually a trend will emerge so the question is:  will the Australian share market rally or move down over the next six months or so.

Shares, gold, real estate, cash: strengths and weaknesses.

July 10th, 2009 · No Comments

Investing can often stir people’s emotions and nothing seems to get people fired up more than when the topic of which asset class or investment will provide the best returns is discussed. So rather than try and pick “the” best asset class, perhaps it is useful to just discuss some of their various strengths and weaknesses without trying to predict future prices or capital gains etc.

The Japanese economy: fragile but improving.

July 7th, 2009 · 4 Comments

It has been hard to write much about the Japanese economy of late simply because the economic data appeared to change every day. But over the last few weeks things do seem to have stabilised and both the government and the private sector in Japan generally agree that the economy probably hit the bottom earlier this year.

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