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Entries Tagged as 'global economy'

What could be the next move for the ASX All Ordinaries Index?

March 27th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Since mid last year, the Australian stock market has staged a fairly impressive rally with the ASX All Ordinaries Index moving from a decidedly bearish level of down near 4000 to a bull market level of just under 5200 points. But of late the market has slipped back which will worry some investors, while others see this a simply a pause before the rally upwards continues.

Stockwatch: WorleyParsons Ltd (WOR)

February 25th, 2013 · 1 Comment

WorleyParsons Ltd (ASX: WOR), in line with a recent theme, announced–on the same day it revealed results for the first half of fiscal 2013–a new contract award, this one to provide engineering services at the Fort Hills oil sands project. The work, which will begin immediately, will generate AUD140 million of revenue for WorleyParsons. Fort Hills is jointly owned by Suncor Energy Inc (TSX: SU, NYSE: SU), Total SA (France: FP, NYSE: TOT) and Teck Resources Ltd (TSX: TCK/B, NYSE: TCK).

Australian stock market outlook & forecast for 2013

January 8th, 2013 · 26 Comments

Once again it is time to dust off the crystal ball, stick a finger in the air and toss some chicken bones over my shoulder in a vain attempt to forecast what the Australian stock market will do in 2013.  Last year the ASX All Ordinaries and S&P/ASX 200 posted respectable gains, but will they do so again this year?

ASX All Ordinaries Index 2012 charts review.

January 2nd, 2013 · 3 Comments

In 2012 the Australian stock market finished the year higher with the ASX All Ordinaries Index posting a gain of around 12% to close at 4663.30 points.  Unsurprisingly much of the financial media excitedly churned out headlines suggesting stocks were soaring and many commentators focused on the annual rally being the best since 2009.  However if we look past the nonsensical rambling of much of the mainstream media the reality is  that All Ords has in reality simply moved back up to a level below where it finished at the end of 2009 and is still way below the pre-GFC market high.

Australian Economic and Market Indicators – November 2012

November 12th, 2012 · 24 Comments

Finally it seems the Reserve Bank of Australia and Treasury have had to accept that the mining boom has peaked or is peaking, which is something I have been talking about on this site for some years.  However the RBA, Treasury and Gillard Government all still appear to be relatively upbeat about the outlook for the Australian economy next year which is surprising,  since I don’t see a lot to be optimistic about as I review the stock market, housing market or a few other economic indicators.

Australian stock market outlook and forecast for Q4 2012

October 1st, 2012 · 22 Comments

As we enter the last quarter of trading for 2012 we are confronted by a market which appears to be trending upwards since bottoming out in June on one hand, and a gloomy outlook for the global economy on the other. Surprisingly if we have another good few months the ASX All Ordinaries Index could be up near 5000 by the end of the year which just a few months ago, appeared very unlikely.

ASX All Ords, GMI, BHP, NCM ,CBA, WBC & WOW Candlestick Charts.

July 18th, 2012 · 34 Comments

The Australian stock market has been as exciting to watch over the last month as a Julia Gillard speech.  Over a few days stocks grind out modest gains and then when bad news roll in, the gains are basically given up and the market slides back down again. But if we scratch under the surface and look at some candlestick charts these may help us understand what is driving this type of share market trading.

Baltic Dry Index, AMEX Oil & Gas & Commodities Prices – July 2012

July 4th, 2012 · 17 Comments

As we enter a new financial year it’s a good time to step back and look at some global economic indicators to try and get a grasp on any trends that might be emerging. Are there some signs of economic life out there or any hints of a global economic recovery that might help stock market investors some hope for the second half of 2012?

Stock charts review: ASX All Ords, AGK, DJS, WPL, NAB & LEI

June 21st, 2012 · 1 Comment

The last month or so has been quite a ride for Australian stock market investors with the ASX All Ordinaries Index falling from around 4500 points to around 4000 points.  The continuing economic woes in Europe, the economic slowdown in China and the stagnant U.S economy have worked to drag the share market down as have signs that the Australian domestic economy is showing signs of weakness.

Australian economic indicators & the housing market – June 2012

June 4th, 2012 · 107 Comments

Over the last few months it has been quite remarkable to witness how the believers in Ken Henry’s ‘Golden Age’ have started to sound a little downbeat as the economic slowdown in China can no longer be ignored.  Therefore it seems like an appropriate time to try and assess what impact this slowdown is having (and may have) on the Australian economy and review the charts for a few important economic indicators.

Why the U.S. Dollar is Critical for the S&P 500 Index this Week.

April 30th, 2012 · 4 Comments

Unfortunately I was sick the past few weeks and I am just now getting back into the swing of things. Similar to the demand pull that the warmer than usual spring has had on macroeconomic data, the warmer spring caused me to have an earlier than usual sinus infection as well as some horrific allergies. I suppose I am pushing it a bit far when I am comparing my health concerns to economic data, but alas I fly my nerd flag proudly.

Where is the Australian Economy heading in 2012?

February 3rd, 2012 · 19 Comments

It wasn’t that long ago when ex-Treasury Head Ken Henry talked about the Australian economy being in a ‘Golden Age’. I guess when you can retire on a lucrative public service pension and then parachute into a highly paid job as an advisor to the Prime Minister the future does probably seem bright. But now in early 2012 as unemployment appears set to rise and the economy is showing signs of weakness, Ken Henry’s ‘Golden Age’ comment might end up in the same category as Tim Flannery’s ‘Dams will no longer fill’ prediction.

Are Australian stocks set to ride another bull market?

January 27th, 2012 · 23 Comments

Recently the markets appear to have settled somewhat and the Australian stock market has steadily been heading higher so far in 2012. Could we be seeing the early signs of another bull market taking hold or are we about to see another sharp correction take the ASX All Ordinaries back down towards 4000 and perhaps lower?

Are Australian stocks set to ride another bull market?

January 27th, 2012 · No Comments

Recently the markets appear to have settled somewhat and the Australian stock market has steadily been heading higher so far in 2012. Could we be seeing the early signs of another bull market taking hold or are we about to see another sharp correction take the ASX All Ordinaries back down towards 4000 and perhaps lower?

The economy, the Chinese property market & Jim Chanos.

December 16th, 2011 · 27 Comments

As we approach the end of another year we should not be surprised by the economic turmoil in Europe, the ailing U.S. economy or the rumblings of a major slowdown in the Chinese property market. The signs that all was not well with the global economy have been raised on this humble site going back more than a year. Simply put, borrowing vast sums of money and splashing it around did not fix the global economic imbalances highlighted by the market meltdown in 2008.

Oil Prices, the Baltic Dry Index, Stock Markets & Gold.

December 7th, 2011 · 34 Comments

The interest rate cut yesterday by the Reserve Bank of Australia suggests that finally the RBA understands that the Chinese economy will not keep expanding at a rapid rate while its major trading partners are struggling. But even if the Chinese economy slows more than most economists expect this is unlikely to send the global economy back into a GFC-like slump.

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