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Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Tagged as 'gold'

U.S. Market: Market Melt-up Brings Volatility to Metals

February 1st, 2017 · 16 Comments

Our recent analysis bases on a previous report of the potential for a further run in the US markets based on a number of technical and fundamental factors leads to the question of “what could happen with Gold and Silver”.  A broad US market rally may put some pressure on the metals markets initially, but, in our opinion, the increase in volatility and uncertainty will likely prompt more potential for upward price action in precious metals.

Australian Stock Market Set for a Pull-Back

August 31st, 2016 · 24 Comments

The last couple of months have been eventful for the Australian stock market. First, for reasons unknown, it was was moved by the Brexit referendum result and then as the 2016 Australian Federal Election saga slowly unfolded the market really didn’t do much at all, even-though Malcolm Turnbull almost managed to lose all the seats Tony Abbott had won for the coalition parties in the previous election. Despite these events however the S&P/ASX has gained ground and has edged up to around the 5400-5600 range…again.

U.S. Market: Sell Off Coming!

June 17th, 2016 · No Comments

This “distortion” between “risk” and “return” has created a “bubble” effect in all global equity classes. I informed my subscribers to exit the SPX on November 25th, 2014 and to enter cash. Their equity risk exposure was reduced to zero. Momentum oscillators are now extremely overbought and are very clearly trending bearish.  I wait for confirmation before entering any new long SDS and long VXX positions.

U.S Market: A Top in Place for Oil & SPX?

March 29th, 2016 · 34 Comments

Stock markets rebounded solidly from their lows of February 11th, 2016, making new multi-month highs, earlier last week. The SPX rescinded 0.7% by the end of last week. These market gains can be attributed to the very bullish decisions of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the FED Central Banks.  On March 10th, 2016, the ECB surprised the financial world by announcing a much stronger than expected stimulus package. One week later, the FED announced that it would not raise its’ short-term interest rates. It was only three months earlier, back in December of 2015, that they suggested that they would raise rates four times in 2016. It is now my belief, that they will not raise short- term interest ‘materially’ in 2016.

U.S. Market: These Monthly Stock Charts Say It All

January 19th, 2016 · 4 Comments

Since mid-2014, the US stock market has been showing signs of the underlying market weakening. During the last quarter of 2015, the stock market had its first major bout of distribution selling, which confirmed our analysis that the bull market is nearly over. If you have been following my articles for a while, then you may be tired of my warnings of the bear market, which is on the verge of starting. In fact, the TSX Toronto stock exchange, US Transportation index and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have all been in bull blown bear markets for six months already.

Global Economics, Quantitative Easing and Equities

August 13th, 2015 · 5 Comments

A take on the global economy and equities markets that paints a simple and clear pictures I think. The DJIA index has recorded seven consecutive down days in a row!  These 7 distribution days are a sign that many institutions are taking profits or establishing losses. As we are entering the second half of 2015, financial panic is occurring globally. Currently, this tremendous financial devastation is happening throughout the world.  Stock prices are crashing in China, Europe and soon I feel the United States. Puerto Rico has now defaulted on their debts. Quantitative Easing has been masking the symptom of this endemic disease. The Greek Banks are still frozen and will continue to stay this way; however, the mainstream media is not reporting on this current situation in Greece. There is a limit on weekly withdrawals of 420 Euro per (around US $455).

FY 2014-2015 ASX Charts Review

June 30th, 2015 · 13 Comments

Well another financial year has come to an end and for the Australian stock market it has been a fairly poor FY2014-2015, but if you include dividends an average balanced stocks portfolio could have probably returned 3-4% in dividends which in the era of low interest rates is not too bad. However the reality is that the Australian stock market is under-performing markets in Japan, the US and many in Europe – not to mention Chinese stocks which surged skywards during the past year but now look like they are currently falling back to earth.

U.S. Market: 4 Month Forecast – Gold, Oil, Stocks & Bonds

April 10th, 2015 · 5 Comments

Everyone is looking for the holy grail of the financial market which will tell what will happen next in stocks, commodities, bonds etc… Knowing that the holy grail of trading does not exist I am going to step out on a limb and share my four month stock market forecast along with commodities and bonds.

U.S. Market: Money Will Rotate Into These Dead Investments

March 3rd, 2015 · No Comments

Seasoned investors understand that investments which are rocketing to new highs and all over the news will eventually fall out of favor and become a the poor performer, unwanted by market participants.  So it only makes sense that the underperforming investments will some day come back to life and provide opportunity once again. I covered this unique stage analysis in great detail in another report linked below.

Stock Market Volatility and Weak Global Economic Growth

November 7th, 2014 · 11 Comments

Over the last few weeks I have been simply watching the markets and have not even attempted to analyse the various swings and moves of the ASX All Ordinaries Index and S&P/ASX 200 Index.  Just when I thought I might have been able to make sense out of what was happening, along would come news of the IMF cutting their global growth forecast, more mixed economic news out of China or recently and almost out of nowhere, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) sprung into back action and ramped up its version of Quantitative Easing (QE).

S&P/ASX 200 Index (XJO) Charts Review – August 2014

August 25th, 2014 · 23 Comments

Over the last 6 months despite signs the Australian economy is heading for tougher times, the Australian stock market has continued to edge higher despite the occasional minor correction along the way. Currently the S&P/ASX 200 is just above 5600 and if it’s going to make a run towards 6000 before the end of the year, then now seems the time for this to happen.  But maybe stocks are poised to slip back again and around 5600 is as good as it will get for the S&P/ASX 200 for 2014?

U.S. Market: SP500 ETF Trading Strategies & Plan of Attack

April 1st, 2014 · No Comments

Stocks have kick started this week with a 0.85% pop in price but the big question is if the market can hold up. Last week stocks repeatedly gap higher and sold off with strong volume telling us that institutions are slowing phasing out of stocks (distribution selling) unloading shares into strength and passing them onto the a average investor to be left holding bag.

ASX Market Indices Charts Review: XJO, XMM, XFJ, XNJ & XGD

March 19th, 2014 · 21 Comments

Over the last few months the Australian stock market has moved without any real conviction and appears to have settled within a range between 5100 and 5450. There has been no clear breakout towards 6000 nor has a major correction taken the market down to what I would describe as a buying range.  At this stage it appears difficult to spot any clear trend by looking at the ASX All Ords Index and/or S&P/ASX 200 so I will go one level lower, and look at some key sector ASX Market Indices.

Short Term ASX Market Outlook & Trading Strategy Update

February 24th, 2014 · 6 Comments

Over the last couple of weeks the Australian stock market has been on the rise with the ASX All Ordinaries & S&P/ASX 200 heading towards 5500. As a result there is now much talk about a bull market and of investors chasing yield which for me, is simply background noise. What I am really interested in is trying to understand if the market is set to keep rising or if it’s time to adopt a defensive strategy for the time being.

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