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Entries Tagged as 'outlook'

Commonwealth Bank and Rio Tinto – a shorter term trading strategy

May 10th, 2013 · 5 Comments

At the moment there is so much confusion across the global markets that is makes me less reluctant to take long term positions. One day we see Chinese trade data which appears good, but there are questions about its reliability. Over in the U.S the economy appears to be improving, but what will happen when the Fed starts to wind back quantitative easing measures? Meanwhile in Japan, Abenomics is shaking up the markets and there is considerable pressure on leaders across the EU to ease up on austerity measures.

A mixed market outlook and long term investing

April 30th, 2013 · 6 Comments

The Australian stock market has posted some good gains recently with the ASX All Ordinaries Index and S&P/ASX 200 Index both closing above 5100 yesterday. Instead of the markets showing some weakness as I expected, they appear to be rallying even despite falls in commodities prices and warning signs that the Chinese economy may start to slow again. This makes it difficult to get a feel for where the markets might be heading and economic stimulus measures in the United States, China and Japan complicate the outlook even further.

What could be the next move for the ASX All Ordinaries Index?

March 27th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Since mid last year, the Australian stock market has staged a fairly impressive rally with the ASX All Ordinaries Index moving from a decidedly bearish level of down near 4000 to a bull market level of just under 5200 points. But of late the market has slipped back which will worry some investors, while others see this a simply a pause before the rally upwards continues.

Stockwatch: WorleyParsons Ltd (WOR)

February 25th, 2013 · 1 Comment

WorleyParsons Ltd (ASX: WOR), in line with a recent theme, announced–on the same day it revealed results for the first half of fiscal 2013–a new contract award, this one to provide engineering services at the Fort Hills oil sands project. The work, which will begin immediately, will generate AUD140 million of revenue for WorleyParsons. Fort Hills is jointly owned by Suncor Energy Inc (TSX: SU, NYSE: SU), Total SA (France: FP, NYSE: TOT) and Teck Resources Ltd (TSX: TCK/B, NYSE: TCK).

Gold and Silver Prices nearing Long Term Support

February 22nd, 2013 · 23 Comments

Gold and silver along with their related miners have been under a lot of selling pressure the last few months. Prices have fallen far enough to make most traders and investors start to panic and close out their long term positions which is a bullish signal in my opinion. My trading tactic for both swing trading and day trading thrive on entering and exiting positions when panic trading hits an investment. General rule of thumb is to buy when others are extremely fearful and cannot hold on to a losing position any longer. When they are selling I am usually slowly accumulating a long position.

Australian stock market outlook & forecast for 2013

January 8th, 2013 · 19 Comments

Once again it is time to dust off the crystal ball, stick a finger in the air and toss some chicken bones over my shoulder in a vain attempt to forecast what the Australian stock market will do in 2013.  Last year the ASX All Ordinaries and S&P/ASX 200 posted respectable gains, but will they do so again this year?

ASX All Ordinaries Index 2012 charts review.

January 2nd, 2013 · 3 Comments

In 2012 the Australian stock market finished the year higher with the ASX All Ordinaries Index posting a gain of around 12% to close at 4663.30 points.  Unsurprisingly much of the financial media excitedly churned out headlines suggesting stocks were soaring and many commentators focused on the annual rally being the best since 2009.  However if we look past the nonsensical rambling of much of the mainstream media the reality is  that All Ords has in reality simply moved back up to a level below where it finished at the end of 2009 and is still way below the pre-GFC market high.

Australian Economic and Market Indicators – November 2012

November 12th, 2012 · 24 Comments

Finally it seems the Reserve Bank of Australia and Treasury have had to accept that the mining boom has peaked or is peaking, which is something I have been talking about on this site for some years.  However the RBA, Treasury and Gillard Government all still appear to be relatively upbeat about the outlook for the Australian economy next year which is surprising,  since I don’t see a lot to be optimistic about as I review the stock market, housing market or a few other economic indicators.

WTI Crude Oil & Oil Stocks Seasonality & Year-End Outlook

October 31st, 2012 · 9 Comments

Crude oil has had some large price swings this year and another one may be on its way. This report shows the seasonality of crude oil along with where oil is trading and what the oil service stocks are telling us is likely to happen going into year end.

ASX All Ordinaries Index – review of 5, 10 and 25 year charts

October 17th, 2012 · 1 Comment

The Australian stock market closed up again today with the ASX All Ordinaries Index finishing at 4550.90 points – a rise of 0.82% for the day.  The last couple of months have been generally kind to Australian stocks but we need to keep this recent stock market movement in perspective.

70 Second U.S. Market Outlook – Metals, Dollar, Bonds, Stocks, Energy

October 5th, 2012 · 5 Comments

Over the past year we have had some really interesting things unfold in the market. Investing or even swing trading has been much more difficult because of all the wild economic data and daily headline news from all over the globe causing strong surges or sell offs almost every week.

Australian stock market outlook and forecast for Q4 2012

October 1st, 2012 · 22 Comments

As we enter the last quarter of trading for 2012 we are confronted by a market which appears to be trending upwards since bottoming out in June on one hand, and a gloomy outlook for the global economy on the other. Surprisingly if we have another good few months the ASX All Ordinaries Index could be up near 5000 by the end of the year which just a few months ago, appeared very unlikely.

There’s Still Money to Be Made in Australian Resources

September 25th, 2012 · 2 Comments

The apparent end of the biggest resource boom in a century in Australia, occasionally called China’s commodity quarry, has drawn downbeat forecasts from politicians and analysts, but there are some indications that signal all is not over for the lucky country.

ASX All Ordinaries Index Charts & Trends – August 2012

August 19th, 2012 · 36 Comments

Now that the Australian stock market has staged a very modest rally over the last few weeks an assortment of finance writers, brokers & market watchers will begin to speculate if this rally is the start of something big.  Indeed if we focus on the short term the market has done fairly well over the last few weeks, however the longer term trend suggests that the Australian stock market is still stuck in a rut.

Stockwatch: Billabong (BBG) Macquarie Group (MQG) and Perpetual (PPT)

July 31st, 2012 · 5 Comments

The last 5 years have taken their toll on many Australian listed companies whose stocks were once considered almost a must for any respectable balanced shares portfolio. But will some of these stocks regain their former glory and move on to set new highs, or are their best days behind them? Today we will look at three shares which are in the category of former stock market high flyers: Billabong International, Macquarie Group & Perpetual Limted.

ASX All Ords, GMI, BHP, NCM ,CBA, WBC & WOW Candlestick Charts.

July 18th, 2012 · 34 Comments

The Australian stock market has been as exciting to watch over the last month as a Julia Gillard speech.  Over a few days stocks grind out modest gains and then when bad news roll in, the gains are basically given up and the market slides back down again. But if we scratch under the surface and look at some candlestick charts these may help us understand what is driving this type of share market trading.

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