Shareswatch Australia

Views about the Australian stock market, shares, the economy, investing, politics and world events.

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Entries Tagged as 'residential property'

The Australian economy: Are the charts half full or half empty?

March 15th, 2013 · 23 Comments

According to data released the other day, the Australian economy created around 70,000 positions recently which apparently is very good according to most economists. This is despite the fact that most of the jobs were part-time roles and I saw no breakdown regarding what type of jobs were created. That doesn’t seem to matter, once the media and assorted experts say it’s time to cheer then we are suppose to cheer.

Australian Economic and Market Indicators – November 2012

November 12th, 2012 · 24 Comments

Finally it seems the Reserve Bank of Australia and Treasury have had to accept that the mining boom has peaked or is peaking, which is something I have been talking about on this site for some years.  However the RBA, Treasury and Gillard Government all still appear to be relatively upbeat about the outlook for the Australian economy next year which is surprising,  since I don’t see a lot to be optimistic about as I review the stock market, housing market or a few other economic indicators.

Has the Australian economy peaked?

May 31st, 2011 · 16 Comments

Last year when I dared to suggest that the Australian economy was unbalanced and that 2011-2012 could be a period of economic contraction the mainstream financial reporters were churning out “miracle” economy stories. Back then they were obsessed with telling their readers how the mining boom would shower riches across the Great Southern Land, but today many of them have started to sound a lot more cautious.

The China property bubble and an economy hooked on growth.

April 27th, 2011 · 39 Comments

For around a year or so I have gradually become more cautious about the outlook for the Chinese economy despite the assurances from mining company executives, the RBA and Wayne Swan amongst others that all is well. Without doubt the rapid development of the major cities in China has been nothing short of spectacular but surely we must ask ourselves: is this rapid growth sustainable over the long term?

The Australian economy, house prices and economic outlook

April 5th, 2011 · 194 Comments

Back in April last year I suggested that the Australian economy was not quite as robust as most market commentators appeared to think and that it was quite possible for economic conditions to deteriorate quite markedly over the next few years.  So now one year later after I wrote about a possible economic slump in Australia let’s have a look at how events have unfolded since then.

Economic indicators, the Australian economy and the stock market

December 15th, 2010 · 16 Comments

As the year has progressed I have noticed that my view of the Australian stock market and economy has become increasingly at odds with most of the mainstream market commentators back in Australia.  Whereas they see reasons to be optimistic and feel the economy is robust, I feel the situation is quite different and believe the Australian economy is dangerously unbalanced and possibly primed for a nasty correction.

Australian House Prices and Propery Market Discussion

June 10th, 2010 · 752 Comments

A discussion about the Australian residential real estate market, home prices and the property market based on articles that were posted & discussed previously.

Can Australian home prices keep rising?

February 1st, 2010 · 908 Comments

Back in the 2008/2009 when home prices in parts of Europe and the United States were tumbling there were plenty of “experts” saying Australian house prices would also come crashing down. But alas the residential property market remained fairly robust during the global financial crisis and the experts who predicted a crash in property prices were wrong.

Farewell 2009, goodbye GFC and a Happy New Year to all!

December 31st, 2009 · 2 Comments

Well 2009 is almost over and although stock market investors did it tough in the first quarter, overall the ASX All Ordinaries and S&P/ASX 200 posted healthy gains of around 30%. This means stocks & shares were in fact a good place to have your money over the last 12 months.

The Random Portfolio: August 2009

August 17th, 2009 · 19 Comments

Back in June the Shareswatch Random Portfolio was down by just over 4% but as I wrote in the update for that month, I felt confident it would be in positive territory within 2009. Thanks to the sustained rally this financial year the portfolio is now well into positive territory and I doubt it will be in the red again for many years, if ever.

Stock market investment traps, tricks and myths.

July 27th, 2009 · 2 Comments

The one sure thing about a bear market is that it provides fertile ground for the rise of investment myths and for people talking up certain assets classes by feeding on the fear of investors. But before you leap into some new investment it is probably a good idea to be aware of some of the common shares related investment traps, tricks and myths that exist.

Farewell FY08/09 and stock market outlook for FY09/10.

June 22nd, 2009 · 2 Comments

Well another financial year is drawing to a close and for most stock market investors the last 12 months have not been very kind. But it is now time to contemplate how the next financial year may unfold and think about any opportunities or threats we may face as investors.

The Australian home prices debate Part 2: Why prices may not collapse.

March 21st, 2009 · 171 Comments

In Part 1 of the Australian home prices debate I looked at some of the factors that could drive home prices down in Australia. Now in Part 2, I shall outline the other side of the debate and consider the arguments that support the view that the Australian residential property market will generally withstand the fallout from the global financial crisis and not follow prices down in a similar way to the U.S. and U.K.

The Australian home prices debate Part 1: Why prices may fall.

March 19th, 2009 · 337 Comments

One of the most discussed economic topics at the moment in Australia is regarding whether real estate prices are about to plunge across the nation or if Australian residential property will generally be spared from the savage price falls seen in the U.S. and the U.K.  Rather than take sides in this debate, I will merely outline some of the arguments being tossed around in newspapers, online forums and blogs etc. and see how well they hold up to scrutiny.


 


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