Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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Entries Tagged as 'shareswatch'

The Shareswatch Random Stocks Portfolio: February 2016

February 22nd, 2016 · 19 Comments

It has been some years since the last review of the Shareswatch Australia Random Stocks Portfolio and so it will be interesting to see what impact the slump in commodities prices has had upon it.  The last review of the portfolio was back in November 2013 when the S&P/ASX 200 was around 5400.

FY 2014-2015 ASX Charts Review

June 30th, 2015 · 13 Comments

Well another financial year has come to an end and for the Australian stock market it has been a fairly poor FY2014-2015, but if you include dividends an average balanced stocks portfolio could have probably returned 3-4% in dividends which in the era of low interest rates is not too bad. However the reality is that the Australian stock market is under-performing markets in Japan, the US and many in Europe – not to mention Chinese stocks which surged skywards during the past year but now look like they are currently falling back to earth.

ASX All Ordinaries Index: Charts, Analysis & Trading Ranges

December 16th, 2013 · 5 Comments

At this time of year we are bombarded with the less than useful reflections of market analysts, brokers and finance columnists who use the benefit of hindsight to tell us mere mortals how they spotted the trends for the year and how easy it was to have profited from the stock market. I however will spare my readers this ordeal and calmly analyse charts of the ASX All Ordinaries Index going back 10 years. I will also look back on the long term outlook for the Australian stock market that I outlined in 2009 and review how events have unfolded since then.

The Shareswatch Random Stocks Portfolio: November 2013

November 12th, 2013 · 9 Comments

A lot has happened since the last review of the Shareswatch Random Stocks Portfolio in January with the S&P/ASX having risen from just under 4800 to around 5400. That’s a gain of about 12% so it would not be unreasonable to expect the portfolio to have also posted a good gain over the same period.

Australian stocks rally but risks remain high

October 25th, 2013 · 20 Comments

Today the ASX All Ordinaries Index is up near the 5400 level with few signs that the current rally which started in July is about to fade. For market bulls this is a joyous occasion and for long term investors such as myself, it is a welcome change from years of the market edging sideways. However I will not be breaking out the champagne just yet as there are risks out there which seem to be getting over-looked.

Charts Review: ASX All Ords, CBA, RIO, WOW & LLC

October 4th, 2013 · 3 Comments

It might surprise some readers to know that over the last 6 months the Australian stock market has essentially moved sideways again.  It’s true that over the last quarter the market has posted a healthy gain and this sort of action gets analysts & reporters very excited. But the boring longer term reality is that the All Ords was hovering around 5,200 in May and that is where it is now.

Baltic Dry Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Gold & AMEX Charts

September 25th, 2013 · 13 Comments

There is a lot of confusing news & information swirling around regarding the markets these days. Depending on who you listen to either the U.S. economy is recovering or Ben Bernanke is the ultimate asset bubble creator. In China some see the economy in a state of planned transition whereas others (including myself), see it as a command economy fuelled by unsustainable credit growth. Meanwhile in Australia there appears to be some confusion regarding if the mining boom is over or just having a rest?

2013 Federal Election, All Ordinaries & Stock Market Outlook

September 8th, 2013 · 3 Comments

Well it’s over at last – the end of what has essentially been a three year election campaign in Australia and hopefully also the end of political instability; but that may be asking for too much. Tony Abbott will be the next Prime Minister of Australia, Kevin Rudd will now get on with doing what he does best what he does best – sulk in a corner and the Australian stock market will probably not do a lot.

Has the Australian Economy entered a period of long term decline?

August 13th, 2013 · 22 Comments

There has been a lot of noise about the Australian economy of late due to the federal election campaign, and most likely much of what is talked about by politicians is not worth paying much attention to. For investors the bigger and more important issues are related to if the Australian economy is in long term decline or is the economy simply heading through a short term rough patch.

Review of S&P/ASX Index Charts: XSJ, XFJ, XPJ, XDJ, XMJ & XNJ

July 26th, 2013 · 6 Comments

As the Australian stock market continues to essentially drift sideways perhaps now is a good time to step away from looking at individual stocks and look at which sectors have been moving the wider S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) Index. To do this I am going to focus on six S&P/ASX 200 sector indices namely the S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Staples (XSJ), S&P/ASX 200 Financials (XFJ), S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT (XPJ), S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary (XDJ), S&P/ASX 200 Materials (XMJ) and S&P/ASX 200 Industrials (XNJ).

Charts, Chanos & China – ASX charts & short term outlook

July 3rd, 2013 · 18 Comments

As per the script, finance journalists were engaged in a fierce battle for readers yesterday with most getting very excited about the ASX All Ordinaries and S&P/ASX 200  posting gains of over 2.5%. It was the best day for the market since whenever they exclaimed and the bearish articles they had churned out just a week before were all forgotten.

A Stock Market Correction. So What?

June 21st, 2013 · 21 Comments

The markets have had a rough time of late and yesterday the combination of Ben Bernake talking about a slowdown in printing dollars and a weak PMI figure out of China resulted in all major stock markets falling with the Dow Jones slumping by more than -350 points overnight. Ouch!

For the Australian stock market, moving sideways may be a good outcome.

June 10th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Over the last few years I have written on several occasions about how the Australian stock market has essentially moved sideways and how I expected both the All Ordinaries Index and ASX S&P/ASX 200 to both bounce around between 4800 – 5200.  Even when the market bulls got excited recently as the 5200 level was briefly breached, I maintained my long held view that the market is trading in a recession like zone.

The 2013 Federal Budget, the Australian Economy and Gold

May 20th, 2013 · 83 Comments

For the last few years I have been warning that steps needed to be taken to prepare the Australian economy for when the commodities cycles would turn downwards. Back when I first started writing about this, it was almost considered treason to even suggest the mining boom may draw to a close. But these days even the RBA, Treasury and Wayne Swan are talking about the end of the commodities boom.

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