Shareswatch Australia

Views about the Australian stock market, shares, the economy, investing, politics and world events.

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Entries Tagged as 'stocks'

Commonwealth Bank and Rio Tinto – a shorter term trading strategy

May 10th, 2013 · 5 Comments

At the moment there is so much confusion across the global markets that is makes me less reluctant to take long term positions. One day we see Chinese trade data which appears good, but there are questions about its reliability. Over in the U.S the economy appears to be improving, but what will happen when the Fed starts to wind back quantitative easing measures? Meanwhile in Japan, Abenomics is shaking up the markets and there is considerable pressure on leaders across the EU to ease up on austerity measures.

A mixed market outlook and long term investing

April 30th, 2013 · 6 Comments

The Australian stock market has posted some good gains recently with the ASX All Ordinaries Index and S&P/ASX 200 Index both closing above 5100 yesterday. Instead of the markets showing some weakness as I expected, they appear to be rallying even despite falls in commodities prices and warning signs that the Chinese economy may start to slow again. This makes it difficult to get a feel for where the markets might be heading and economic stimulus measures in the United States, China and Japan complicate the outlook even further.

Tough times for Gold Prices, Mining Stocks & the ASX 200

April 18th, 2013 · 14 Comments

It has been quite a week with investors needing to digest the slump in gold prices and also the weakening of commodity prices as well.  Although I have been warning about both a gold and commodities bubble for some time,  I have to admit I didn’t expect the gold price to fall back quite this much, this early.

ASX Charts Review: S&P/ASX 200, All Ords Index, CBA, GOLD & TLS

April 8th, 2013 · 33 Comments

The Australian stock market appears poised to head lower this week and there are signs that the rally which started in the middle of 2012, is turning into a decent sized correction. Over the next week or so the key areas to watch will be the mining stocks, banking stocks and gold prices. But already if we look at some charts in these areas we can see a trend developing.

Gold versus S&P 500 – Where is the Value?

March 30th, 2013 · 30 Comments

This past week we received the final 4th Quarter GDP number which came in at 0.39%. The total 4th Quarter growth was terrible, plain and simple. Based on the performance in the equity markets that we have seen thus far in the 1st Quarter of 2013 investors would expect strong GDP growth. However, the only thing spurring stock market growth is the constant humming of Ben Bernanke’s printing press.

What could be the next move for the ASX All Ordinaries Index?

March 27th, 2013 · 12 Comments

Since mid last year, the Australian stock market has staged a fairly impressive rally with the ASX All Ordinaries Index moving from a decidedly bearish level of down near 4000 to a bull market level of just under 5200 points. But of late the market has slipped back which will worry some investors, while others see this a simply a pause before the rally upwards continues.

A quick look at 52 week high and low stock prices: March 2013

March 6th, 2013 · 5 Comments

Since mid 2012 the Australian stock market has been on a roll with the ASX All Ords & S&P/ASX 200 both closing today above 5100 points as the bull market continues. When I last looked at a few 52 week high and low stock prices the All Ords/ASX 200 were around 4300 so not surprisingly most stocks are now trading much higher and investors generally should be a happier lot than they were back then. However some stocks have actually fared relatively poorly since October 2011 and this may help us understand what might be moving the stock market at the moment.

Stockwatch: WorleyParsons Ltd (WOR)

February 25th, 2013 · 1 Comment

WorleyParsons Ltd (ASX: WOR), in line with a recent theme, announced–on the same day it revealed results for the first half of fiscal 2013–a new contract award, this one to provide engineering services at the Fort Hills oil sands project. The work, which will begin immediately, will generate AUD140 million of revenue for WorleyParsons. Fort Hills is jointly owned by Suncor Energy Inc (TSX: SU, NYSE: SU), Total SA (France: FP, NYSE: TOT) and Teck Resources Ltd (TSX: TCK/B, NYSE: TCK).

Gold and Silver Prices nearing Long Term Support

February 22nd, 2013 · 23 Comments

Gold and silver along with their related miners have been under a lot of selling pressure the last few months. Prices have fallen far enough to make most traders and investors start to panic and close out their long term positions which is a bullish signal in my opinion. My trading tactic for both swing trading and day trading thrive on entering and exiting positions when panic trading hits an investment. General rule of thumb is to buy when others are extremely fearful and cannot hold on to a losing position any longer. When they are selling I am usually slowly accumulating a long position.

The ASX All Ordinaries March Towards 5000 – Been There, Done That

February 12th, 2013 · 11 Comments

Recently every move upwards the stock market takes, no matter how slight, is greeted with almost ecstatic cries of joy from many analysts, finance journalists and assorted market watchers. It’s as if the ASX All Ordinaries was heading towards a new high and investors were being showered with money in the midst of a raging bull market that had no limits. Certainly there have been good returns of late for those investors who timed their entry into market almost perfectly, but for longer term investors it’s more of case of here we go again.

The Shareswatch Random Stocks Portfolio: January 2013

January 28th, 2013 · 9 Comments

Back in May 2012 when I last reviewed the performance of the Shareswatch Random Stocks Portfolio the S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) closed at 4165. On the 25th January the ASX 200 closed at 4835 which means the XJO has risen by around 13.85% since the last review.  So it will be interesting (for me at least) to see how this randomly selected collection of stocks has been performing against this ASX 200 Index.

Signs that a Correction Maybe Near in the SPX, RUT & DJIA

January 24th, 2013 · 1 Comment

The great market prognosticators have by now came out with their 2013 predictions about financial markets. It seems to me to be a fool’s game to try to predict what financial markets are going to do in the future. I want to be clear in stating that I do not know what is going to happen in the future. I do not know where the S&P 500 Index is going to trade tomorrow let alone 6 months from now. Most market pundits simply will not admit to this fact.

BHP Billiton, Commonwealth Bank, & Telstra 2012 Charts Review

January 15th, 2013 · 2 Comments

Today I am going to review the 1 year performance of three ASX listed blue-chip stocks namely: the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA)  BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) and Telstra Corporation (ASX:TLS) to get a feel for how these large companies within the S&P/ASX 200 Index fared during 2012.  Does the performance of these stocks give us any indication of how the wider stock market may fare in 2013 and if so, are these stocks worth watching over the next 12 months?

Australian stock market outlook & forecast for 2013

January 8th, 2013 · 26 Comments

Once again it is time to dust off the crystal ball, stick a finger in the air and toss some chicken bones over my shoulder in a vain attempt to forecast what the Australian stock market will do in 2013.  Last year the ASX All Ordinaries and S&P/ASX 200 posted respectable gains, but will they do so again this year?

ASX All Ordinaries Index 2012 charts review.

January 2nd, 2013 · 3 Comments

In 2012 the Australian stock market finished the year higher with the ASX All Ordinaries Index posting a gain of around 12% to close at 4663.30 points.  Unsurprisingly much of the financial media excitedly churned out headlines suggesting stocks were soaring and many commentators focused on the annual rally being the best since 2009.  However if we look past the nonsensical rambling of much of the mainstream media the reality is  that All Ords has in reality simply moved back up to a level below where it finished at the end of 2009 and is still way below the pre-GFC market high.

Will the S&P/ASX 200 continue to rally in 2012?

December 17th, 2012 · 16 Comments

As we approach the end of the year, the annual topic of a “Santa  Rally” rears its head and although I don’t believe Santa can rally stocks, I do wonder if the current upwards trend of the Australian stock market can be sustained for much longer. Will the S&P/ASX 200 finish 2012 on a high, or will slide back and finish well below 4500.

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