Shareswatch Australia

Australian stock market investing, ASX charts, analysis & market forecasts.

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The Australian stock market, Covid-19 and dealing with uncertainty

July 13th, 2020 · Greg Atkinson · No Comments

Back in March as the world markets were in the midst of the Covid-19 triggered sell-off I suggested that investors remain calm. I also suggested in my article at that time that the S&P/ASX 200 Index would not fall much below 5000 and would probably recover back up towards the long term trend. As I write today both of those guesses have proven to be correct, but that’s more a case of good luck rather than any ability to predict the future.

ASX Market Correction, Panic Selling and the Coronavirus

March 9th, 2020 · Greg Atkinson · 4 Comments

It’s been over a year since I have written about the Australian stock market mainly because I was occupied with other issues and secondly, because the market was working it’s way up past the long term average anyway as I wrote about back in January 2019. So a market correction was bound to come along eventually, as they always do, but this current correction has a real sting in its tail.

The ASX 200 – a long term view

January 21st, 2019 · Greg Atkinson · 2 Comments

During the last month or so the global markets have been on quite a ride. The United States – China trade dispute and the UK’s pending exit from the European Union (EU) has been identified by much of the mainstream media as the main causes for sending major stock markets lower. These have also been flagged by much of the finance media in Australia as reasons why the Australian stock market has fallen back, along with other factors notably the banking royal commission & falling home prices. Yes all these will influence stock prices to varying extents, but in regards to the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX 200) – it’s more of a case of just more of the same.

ASX 200 Index – Below 6,000 Again

October 16th, 2018 · Greg Atkinson · 3 Comments

During the last few months I have not written anything about the Australian stock market since there didn’t really seem to be much to write about. As I mentioned at the start of the year, I was not optimistic about the outlook for the S&P/ASX 200 range of stocks and I haven’t even bothered to make a prediction where the ASX 200 Index might finish in 2018. As usual many in the mainstream finance media and assorted podcasters got very excited when the ASX 200 moved past 6,000 recently. But as sure and night follows day it’s back below that level once again.

Oil, Telstra, Macquarie & the ASX 200

June 1st, 2018 · Greg Atkinson · 16 Comments

Earlier this year there was quite a bit of excitement amongst many market watchers as the S&P/ASX 200 had settled above 6000 after a rallying from just over 5,500 in October 2017. The mainstream finance media were as usual generating click-bait content that conveyed the impression that the market was in the midst of an almost unstoppable rally. However I wasn’t convinced that the Australian stock market was set to finally get back to the level it was 10 years ago and for the last few months I have been just watching the market basically go nowhere.

Precious Metals and Mining Stock Chart Paint A Clear Picture

May 1st, 2018 · Chris Vermeulen · 1 Comment

In this article, we are going to explain and show you an interesting pattern that has been slowly forming over the past year in the precious metals sector. This pattern along with our analysis point to a significant rally to start in the next 4 months for gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and miners. Before we get into the details, below, it is important for every trader to step back and look at the bigger picture. It’s way too easy to get sucked into the markets movements, become an emotional trader, start losing a few trades, and second-guessing your open positions.

Will the Australian Stock Market Rally Continue?

January 9th, 2018 · Greg Atkinson · 47 Comments

Late in 2017 I was prepared for a significant market correction and not only did this not happen, but instead the market finished the year strongly. Rather than the S&P/ASX 200 Index falling back towards 5500 it actually pushed and held above 6000 for reasons I’m not sure are based on market fundamentals.  So what happens from here?  Will the market rally keep pushing the ASX 200 higher over the next few months or will a correction bring it below 6000 again. Of course there is no way to be sure what will happen, but let me lay out some thoughts on what might happen.

U.S. Market: Are Markets setting up for an Early October Surprise?

October 3rd, 2017 · Chris Vermeulen · 23 Comments

Many analysts have recently warned that the US markets are setting up for a potentially massive correction, 40~70% some warn.  Our own analysis has shown massive market cycles that correlate with an October market correction.  Our VIX cycle analysis indicates that we should be expecting a spike in the VIX right now (within the next 3~4 days).  What does all this mean in reality for the average investor?

S&P/ASX 200 – 10 Years of Much Ado About Nothing

September 19th, 2017 · Greg Atkinson · 20 Comments

Ten years ago the Australian stock market was at an all time high with the S&P/ASX 200 Index at around 6,500. Just a few months later however the  the global financial crisis played havoc with the markets and the ASX 200 slumped to around 3000. But even during those darkest days I did not imagine that a decade later the Australian stock market would still be below 6000.  Yes the mainstream finance media might excitedly churn out eye-catching headlines every time there is a minor rally or correction, but the sobering reality is that during most of the last 10 years the Australian stock market has done very little.


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